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icon for Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место

Jaques Wagner 54%

Rui Costa 16.8%

Angelo Coronel 13.9%

João Roma 12.4%

Polymarket

$35,036 Объем

Jaques Wagner 54%

Rui Costa 16.8%

Angelo Coronel 13.9%

João Roma 12.4%

Polymarket

$35,036 Объем

icon for Jaques Wagner

Jaques Wagner

$23,482 Объем

54%

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$4,840 Объем

17%

icon for Angelo Coronel

Angelo Coronel

$1,641 Объем

14%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$1,255 Объем

8%

icon for Carlos Sodré

Carlos Sodré

$681 Объем

<1%

icon for Gregorio Gould

Gregorio Gould

$570 Объем

<1%

icon for Marcelo Carvalho

Marcelo Carvalho

$488 Объем

<1%

icon for Marcelo Millet

Marcelo Millet

$673 Объем

<1%

icon for Marcelo Santtana

Marcelo Santtana

$654 Объем

<1%

icon for Professora Delliana

Professora Delliana

$751 Объем

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from September 2026 shows Rui Costa (PT) leading Senate vote intentions in Bahia at 26%, with Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19% and opposition figures João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) within the margin of error behind him at 17% and 15%. This pattern, consistent with earlier Quaest and Paraná surveys, positions the two PT candidates for the top spots while sustaining uncertainty over the second seat. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with voters selecting two distinct names, keep the ordering among trailing contenders fluid. Late campaign events, shifts in turnout among PT-aligned voters, or stronger opposition consolidation could alter the margin between Wagner and the nearest challengers before the October 4 first-round vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$35,036
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from September 2026 shows Rui Costa (PT) leading Senate vote intentions in Bahia at 26%, with Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19% and opposition figures João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) within the margin of error behind him at 17% and 15%. This pattern, consistent with earlier Quaest and Paraná surveys, positions the two PT candidates for the top spots while sustaining uncertainty over the second seat. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with voters selecting two distinct names, keep the ordering among trailing contenders fluid. Late campaign events, shifts in turnout among PT-aligned voters, or stronger opposition consolidation could alter the margin between Wagner and the nearest challengers before the October 4 first-round vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$35,036
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Сможет ли Руй Кошта получить больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат Баии в 2026 году?

Сможет ли Руй Кошта получить больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат Баии в 2026 году?

77%
Да
icon for Сможет ли Филипе Баррос получить второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Параны в 2026 году?

Сможет ли Филипе Баррос получить второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Параны в 2026 году?

48%
Да
icon for Получит ли Бия Кисиз второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?

Получит ли Бия Кисиз второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?

41%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Jaques Wagner» с 54%, за ним следует «Rui Costa» с 17%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $35K с момента запуска рынка Aug 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место» — «Jaques Wagner» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Rui Costa» с 17%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.