Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) for the two São Paulo Senate seats up for election on October 4, with each in the low-to-mid teens in combined first- and second-preference shares and André do Prado (PL) trailing at 7%. Derrite leads in first-preference mentions, consistent with trader pricing that places him slightly ahead for top spot. The start of free electoral advertising in late August lifted the front-runners, while elevated undecided and blank/null shares (over 40% combined) keep separation limited. Right-wing emphasis on the ongoing STF controversy and security themes contrasts with the ex-ministers’ positioning alongside Fernando Haddad’s gubernatorial bid, leaving room for late shifts before the single-round vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоGuilherme Derrite 50%
Simone Tebet 27.1%
Marina Silva 20%
André do Prado 3.8%
$42,531 Объем
$42,531 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Guilherme Derrite
50%
Simone Tebet
27%
Marina Silva
20%
André do Prado
4%
Salles
2%
Soninha Francine
<1%
Weller Gonçalves
<1%
William Teixeira
<1%
Maíra de Souza
<1%
Marcio Alves
<1%
Petter Maahs
<1%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
<1%
Ednelson Cesaretti
<1%
Geraldo Rufino
<1%
Guilherme Derrite 50%
Simone Tebet 27.1%
Marina Silva 20%
André do Prado 3.8%
$42,531 Объем
$42,531 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Guilherme Derrite
$26,426 Объем
50%
Simone Tebet
$2,011 Объем
27%
Marina Silva
$4,976 Объем
20%
André do Prado
$2,379 Объем
4%
Salles
$1,951 Объем
2%
Soninha Francine
$474 Объем
<1%
Weller Gonçalves
$383 Объем
<1%
William Teixeira
$733 Объем
<1%
Maíra de Souza
$396 Объем
<1%
Marcio Alves
$552 Объем
<1%
Petter Maahs
$419 Объем
<1%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$613 Объем
<1%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$737 Объем
<1%
Geraldo Rufino
$480 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) for the two São Paulo Senate seats up for election on October 4, with each in the low-to-mid teens in combined first- and second-preference shares and André do Prado (PL) trailing at 7%. Derrite leads in first-preference mentions, consistent with trader pricing that places him slightly ahead for top spot. The start of free electoral advertising in late August lifted the front-runners, while elevated undecided and blank/null shares (over 40% combined) keep separation limited. Right-wing emphasis on the ongoing STF controversy and security themes contrasts with the ex-ministers’ positioning alongside Fernando Haddad’s gubernatorial bid, leaving room for late shifts before the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Объем
$42,531Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) for the two São Paulo Senate seats up for election on October 4, with each in the low-to-mid teens in combined first- and second-preference shares and André do Prado (PL) trailing at 7%. Derrite leads in first-preference mentions, consistent with trader pricing that places him slightly ahead for top spot. The start of free electoral advertising in late August lifted the front-runners, while elevated undecided and blank/null shares (over 40% combined) keep separation limited. Right-wing emphasis on the ongoing STF controversy and security themes contrasts with the ex-ministers’ positioning alongside Fernando Haddad’s gubernatorial bid, leaving room for late shifts before the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$42,531Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) for the two São Paulo Senate seats up for election on October 4, with each in the low-to-mid teens in combined first- and second-preference shares and André do Prado (PL) trailing at 7%. Derrite leads in first-preference mentions, consistent with trader pricing that places him slightly ahead for top spot. The start of free electoral advertising in late August lifted the front-runners, while elevated undecided and blank/null shares (over 40% combined) keep separation limited. Right-wing emphasis on the ongoing STF controversy and security themes contrasts with the ex-ministers’ positioning alongside Fernando Haddad’s gubernatorial bid, leaving room for late shifts before the single-round vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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