Recent moderation in new orders and backlogs, following July’s 55.6 peak, has anchored trader expectations for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI near 54–55. August’s 54.6 reading marked the eighth straight month of expansion but showed cooling demand and persistent price pressures at 71.1, driven by tariffs, Middle East-related energy costs, and supply-chain strains. Broader indicators, including the NY Fed’s September manufacturing survey and S&P Global data around 53.9, reinforce a steady but decelerating expansion path. With probabilities tightly distributed across the 53–55 range, outcomes hinge on whether new orders stabilize or soften further ahead of the October 1 release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado54,0 a 54,9 27%
55,0 a 55,9 24%
53,0 a 53,9 23%
52,0 a 52,9 15%
$14,130 Vol.
$14,130 Vol.
1 out 2026
<50,0
4%
50,0 a 50,9
1%
51,0 a 51,9
8%
52,0 a 52,9
15%
53,0 a 53,9
23%
54,0 a 54,9
27%
55,0 a 55,9
24%
56,0 a 56,9
5%
57,0 a 57,9
3%
58,0+
4%
54,0 a 54,9 27%
55,0 a 55,9 24%
53,0 a 53,9 23%
52,0 a 52,9 15%
$14,130 Vol.
$14,130 Vol.
1 out 2026
<50,0
$375 Vol.
4%
50,0 a 50,9
$1,215 Vol.
1%
51,0 a 51,9
$894 Vol.
8%
52,0 a 52,9
$248 Vol.
15%
53,0 a 53,9
$1,501 Vol.
23%
54,0 a 54,9
$4,924 Vol.
27%
55,0 a 55,9
$617 Vol.
24%
56,0 a 56,9
$193 Vol.
5%
57,0 a 57,9
$3,851 Vol.
3%
58,0+
$311 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in new orders and backlogs, following July’s 55.6 peak, has anchored trader expectations for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI near 54–55. August’s 54.6 reading marked the eighth straight month of expansion but showed cooling demand and persistent price pressures at 71.1, driven by tariffs, Middle East-related energy costs, and supply-chain strains. Broader indicators, including the NY Fed’s September manufacturing survey and S&P Global data around 53.9, reinforce a steady but decelerating expansion path. With probabilities tightly distributed across the 53–55 range, outcomes hinge on whether new orders stabilize or soften further ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$14,130Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in new orders and backlogs, following July’s 55.6 peak, has anchored trader expectations for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI near 54–55. August’s 54.6 reading marked the eighth straight month of expansion but showed cooling demand and persistent price pressures at 71.1, driven by tariffs, Middle East-related energy costs, and supply-chain strains. Broader indicators, including the NY Fed’s September manufacturing survey and S&P Global data around 53.9, reinforce a steady but decelerating expansion path. With probabilities tightly distributed across the 53–55 range, outcomes hinge on whether new orders stabilize or soften further ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$14,130Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in new orders and backlogs, following July’s 55.6 peak, has anchored trader expectations for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI near 54–55. August’s 54.6 reading marked the eighth straight month of expansion but showed cooling demand and persistent price pressures at 71.1, driven by tariffs, Middle East-related energy costs, and supply-chain strains. Broader indicators, including the NY Fed’s September manufacturing survey and S&P Global data around 53.9, reinforce a steady but decelerating expansion path. With probabilities tightly distributed across the 53–55 range, outcomes hinge on whether new orders stabilize or soften further ahead of the October 1 release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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