Recent inflation data showing South Korea’s CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year in August, alongside core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, combined with the Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark to 3%, underpin the market-implied odds favoring no change or a modest November increase. Robust semiconductor-driven GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% for 2026, has strengthened demand-side pressures while the Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point hike widened the policy rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding currency and housing market considerations. Analysts note the BOK’s emphasis on evaluating lagged effects of prior tightening and its dot plot signaling a potential 3.25% endpoint by year-end, with November viewed as the more probable window for any further adjustment amid October’s data review.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSem alteração 53%
Alta de 25 pontos-base 41%
Alta de 50+ pontos-base 5.6%
Corte de 25 pontos-base <1%
$25,297 Vol.
$25,297 Vol.
25 nov 2026
Corte de 50+ pontos base
<1%
Corte de 25 pontos-base
<1%
Sem alteração
53%
Alta de 25 pontos-base
41%
Alta de 50+ pontos-base
6%
Sem alteração 53%
Alta de 25 pontos-base 41%
Alta de 50+ pontos-base 5.6%
Corte de 25 pontos-base <1%
$25,297 Vol.
$25,297 Vol.
25 nov 2026
Corte de 50+ pontos base
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
Corte de 25 pontos-base
$721 Vol.
<1%
Sem alteração
$12,666 Vol.
53%
Alta de 25 pontos-base
$9,893 Vol.
41%
Alta de 50+ pontos-base
$968 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Recent inflation data showing South Korea’s CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year in August, alongside core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, combined with the Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark to 3%, underpin the market-implied odds favoring no change or a modest November increase. Robust semiconductor-driven GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% for 2026, has strengthened demand-side pressures while the Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point hike widened the policy rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding currency and housing market considerations. Analysts note the BOK’s emphasis on evaluating lagged effects of prior tightening and its dot plot signaling a potential 3.25% endpoint by year-end, with November viewed as the more probable window for any further adjustment amid October’s data review.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volume
$25,297Data de Término
26 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Recent inflation data showing South Korea’s CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year in August, alongside core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, combined with the Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark to 3%, underpin the market-implied odds favoring no change or a modest November increase. Robust semiconductor-driven GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% for 2026, has strengthened demand-side pressures while the Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point hike widened the policy rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding currency and housing market considerations. Analysts note the BOK’s emphasis on evaluating lagged effects of prior tightening and its dot plot signaling a potential 3.25% endpoint by year-end, with November viewed as the more probable window for any further adjustment amid October’s data review.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volume
$25,297Data de Término
26 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data showing South Korea’s CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year in August, alongside core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, combined with the Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark to 3%, underpin the market-implied odds favoring no change or a modest November increase. Robust semiconductor-driven GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% for 2026, has strengthened demand-side pressures while the Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point hike widened the policy rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding currency and housing market considerations. Analysts note the BOK’s emphasis on evaluating lagged effects of prior tightening and its dot plot signaling a potential 3.25% endpoint by year-end, with November viewed as the more probable window for any further adjustment amid October’s data review.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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