The September 2026 FOMC meeting delivered a 25 basis point rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, with 16 of 18 officials projecting at least one additional increase by year-end in the updated dot plot. Persistent inflation, including August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and elevated PCE forecasts now at 3.7% for 2026, underpins the hawkish shift under Chair Warsh, who has prioritized a timelier return to the 2% goal amid resilient growth and labor market conditions. Futures markets currently imply roughly 87% odds of another hike before December, with the next meetings in October and December serving as key catalysts that could reinforce or moderate the path depending on incoming data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$70,331 Vol.
$70,331 Vol.
Sim
$70,331 Vol.
$70,331 Vol.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The September 2026 FOMC meeting delivered a 25 basis point rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, with 16 of 18 officials projecting at least one additional increase by year-end in the updated dot plot. Persistent inflation, including August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and elevated PCE forecasts now at 3.7% for 2026, underpins the hawkish shift under Chair Warsh, who has prioritized a timelier return to the 2% goal amid resilient growth and labor market conditions. Futures markets currently imply roughly 87% odds of another hike before December, with the next meetings in October and December serving as key catalysts that could reinforce or moderate the path depending on incoming data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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