The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNicoletti 51.6%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Helio Bolsonaro 4.3%
$62,541 Vol.
$62,541 Vol.
4 out 2026
Nicoletti
52%
Teresa Surita
26%
Helena da Asatur
19%
Helio Bolsonaro
4%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 51.6%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Helio Bolsonaro 4.3%
$62,541 Vol.
$62,541 Vol.
4 out 2026
Nicoletti
$11,121 Vol.
52%
Teresa Surita
$18,485 Vol.
26%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 Vol.
19%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,065 Vol.
4%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 Vol.
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$810 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$62,541Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,541Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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