Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) hold the highest implied probabilities for second place in Rondônia’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, reflecting recent polling trends that show Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading overall while the second slot remains tightly contested. Surveys from August and early September, including Quaest and Phoenix, place Máximo at 17-20% combined first- and second-choice support, with Cristina, Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) clustered between 10-15% and within margins of error. High undecided shares (20-30%) and shifts between first- and second-preference votes keep separation limited, as does the dual-vote structure that rewards broad appeal over singular frontrunners. Recent candidate interviews on issues such as garimpo legalization and amnesty have not yet produced measurable polling movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar
Eleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar
Sílvia Cristina 41%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 39%
Mariana Carvalho 13.1%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 4.6%
$26,619 Vol.
$26,619 Vol.
4 out 2026
Sílvia Cristina
41%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
39%
Mariana Carvalho
13%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
7%
Acir Gurgacz
4%
Aires Mota
3%
Luis Fernando
1%
Neidinha
1%
Luciana Oliveira
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
<1%
Sílvia Cristina 41%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 39%
Mariana Carvalho 13.1%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 4.6%
$26,619 Vol.
$26,619 Vol.
4 out 2026
Sílvia Cristina
$15,045 Vol.
41%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$4,752 Vol.
39%
Mariana Carvalho
$1,592 Vol.
13%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$1,224 Vol.
7%
Acir Gurgacz
$932 Vol.
4%
Aires Mota
$686 Vol.
3%
Luis Fernando
$546 Vol.
1%
Neidinha
$375 Vol.
1%
Luciana Oliveira
$423 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$1,043 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) hold the highest implied probabilities for second place in Rondônia’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, reflecting recent polling trends that show Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading overall while the second slot remains tightly contested. Surveys from August and early September, including Quaest and Phoenix, place Máximo at 17-20% combined first- and second-choice support, with Cristina, Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) clustered between 10-15% and within margins of error. High undecided shares (20-30%) and shifts between first- and second-preference votes keep separation limited, as does the dual-vote structure that rewards broad appeal over singular frontrunners. Recent candidate interviews on issues such as garimpo legalization and amnesty have not yet produced measurable polling movement.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$26,619Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) hold the highest implied probabilities for second place in Rondônia’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, reflecting recent polling trends that show Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading overall while the second slot remains tightly contested. Surveys from August and early September, including Quaest and Phoenix, place Máximo at 17-20% combined first- and second-choice support, with Cristina, Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) clustered between 10-15% and within margins of error. High undecided shares (20-30%) and shifts between first- and second-preference votes keep separation limited, as does the dual-vote structure that rewards broad appeal over singular frontrunners. Recent candidate interviews on issues such as garimpo legalization and amnesty have not yet produced measurable polling movement.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,619Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) hold the highest implied probabilities for second place in Rondônia’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, reflecting recent polling trends that show Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading overall while the second slot remains tightly contested. Surveys from August and early September, including Quaest and Phoenix, place Máximo at 17-20% combined first- and second-choice support, with Cristina, Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) clustered between 10-15% and within margins of error. High undecided shares (20-30%) and shifts between first- and second-preference votes keep separation limited, as does the dual-vote structure that rewards broad appeal over singular frontrunners. Recent candidate interviews on issues such as garimpo legalization and amnesty have not yet produced measurable polling movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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