Recent polling from Real Time Big Data shows Rui Costa (PT) leading consolidated Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, with the race for second place tight: Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19%, João Roma (PL) at 17%, and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) at 15%, all within the 2-point margin of error. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns indicate Wagner leading second preferences at 20%, ahead of Coronel at 16%. These figures align with trader consensus favoring Wagner for second place, reflecting PT organizational strength and vote-splitting dynamics ahead of the October 4 election, while lower odds for Roma and Coronel capture the competitive uncertainty among opposition and incumbent challengers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado da Bahia: 2º Lugar
Eleição para o Senado da Bahia: 2º Lugar
Jaques Wagner 71%
Angelo Coronel 14.2%
Rui Costa 9.7%
João Roma 1.4%
$31,154 Vol.
$31,154 Vol.
4 out 2026
Jaques Wagner
71%
Angelo Coronel
14%
Rui Costa
10%
João Roma
1%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 71%
Angelo Coronel 14.2%
Rui Costa 9.7%
João Roma 1.4%
$31,154 Vol.
$31,154 Vol.
4 out 2026
Jaques Wagner
$20,045 Vol.
71%
Angelo Coronel
$1,641 Vol.
14%
Rui Costa
$4,630 Vol.
10%
João Roma
$1,021 Vol.
1%
Carlos Sodré
$681 Vol.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$488 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$654 Vol.
<1%
Professora Delliana
$751 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data shows Rui Costa (PT) leading consolidated Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, with the race for second place tight: Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19%, João Roma (PL) at 17%, and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) at 15%, all within the 2-point margin of error. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns indicate Wagner leading second preferences at 20%, ahead of Coronel at 16%. These figures align with trader consensus favoring Wagner for second place, reflecting PT organizational strength and vote-splitting dynamics ahead of the October 4 election, while lower odds for Roma and Coronel capture the competitive uncertainty among opposition and incumbent challengers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Volume
$31,154Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data shows Rui Costa (PT) leading consolidated Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, with the race for second place tight: Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19%, João Roma (PL) at 17%, and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) at 15%, all within the 2-point margin of error. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns indicate Wagner leading second preferences at 20%, ahead of Coronel at 16%. These figures align with trader consensus favoring Wagner for second place, reflecting PT organizational strength and vote-splitting dynamics ahead of the October 4 election, while lower odds for Roma and Coronel capture the competitive uncertainty among opposition and incumbent challengers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$31,154Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Real Time Big Data shows Rui Costa (PT) leading consolidated Senate intentions in Bahia at 26%, with the race for second place tight: Jaques Wagner (PT) at 19%, João Roma (PL) at 17%, and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) at 15%, all within the 2-point margin of error. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns indicate Wagner leading second preferences at 20%, ahead of Coronel at 16%. These figures align with trader consensus favoring Wagner for second place, reflecting PT organizational strength and vote-splitting dynamics ahead of the October 4 election, while lower odds for Roma and Coronel capture the competitive uncertainty among opposition and incumbent challengers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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