João Azevêdo (PSB), the former governor who resigned his post in April 2026 to contest the seat, holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place. Recent polling from late August shows him ahead with 27-32% vote intentions, supported by a broad coalition and high name recognition from two successful gubernatorial terms. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, follows in second with 17-25% in the same surveys. The October 4 election features ten registered candidates for two seats, with the top two vote-getters advancing; Azevêdo’s polling edge and organizational strength explain his elevated implied probability, while lower odds for names like Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga reflect weaker current positioning in the race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJoao Azevêdo 80%
Veneziano 15.7%
Nabor 5.7%
João Batista <1%
$13,148 Vol.
$13,148 Vol.
4 out 2026
Joao Azevêdo
80%
Veneziano
16%
Nabor
6%
João Batista
1%
André Gadelha
<1%
Adriano Trajano
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
<1%
Rosilene Santana
<1%
Major Fábio
<1%
Joao Azevêdo 80%
Veneziano 15.7%
Nabor 5.7%
João Batista <1%
$13,148 Vol.
$13,148 Vol.
4 out 2026
Joao Azevêdo
$8,100 Vol.
80%
Veneziano
$1,822 Vol.
16%
Nabor
$498 Vol.
6%
João Batista
$342 Vol.
1%
André Gadelha
$388 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Trajano
$429 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$354 Vol.
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
$397 Vol.
<1%
Rosilene Santana
$476 Vol.
<1%
Major Fábio
$341 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB), the former governor who resigned his post in April 2026 to contest the seat, holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place. Recent polling from late August shows him ahead with 27-32% vote intentions, supported by a broad coalition and high name recognition from two successful gubernatorial terms. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, follows in second with 17-25% in the same surveys. The October 4 election features ten registered candidates for two seats, with the top two vote-getters advancing; Azevêdo’s polling edge and organizational strength explain his elevated implied probability, while lower odds for names like Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga reflect weaker current positioning in the race.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$13,148Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB), the former governor who resigned his post in April 2026 to contest the seat, holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place. Recent polling from late August shows him ahead with 27-32% vote intentions, supported by a broad coalition and high name recognition from two successful gubernatorial terms. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, follows in second with 17-25% in the same surveys. The October 4 election features ten registered candidates for two seats, with the top two vote-getters advancing; Azevêdo’s polling edge and organizational strength explain his elevated implied probability, while lower odds for names like Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga reflect weaker current positioning in the race.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$13,148Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...João Azevêdo (PSB), the former governor who resigned his post in April 2026 to contest the seat, holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place. Recent polling from late August shows him ahead with 27-32% vote intentions, supported by a broad coalition and high name recognition from two successful gubernatorial terms. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, follows in second with 17-25% in the same surveys. The October 4 election features ten registered candidates for two seats, with the top two vote-getters advancing; Azevêdo’s polling edge and organizational strength explain his elevated implied probability, while lower odds for names like Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga reflect weaker current positioning in the race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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