Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, leads the Paraíba gubernatorial race with consistent first-round polling support of 35–43% across recent surveys through early September. His position benefits from incumbency, established party machinery in the PP, and alliances that include support for allied Senate candidates. Trailing contenders such as Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) register lower shares in the same polls, typically in the high teens to low thirties, with second-round simulations showing Ribeiro prevailing in head-to-head matchups. Campaign activity in mid-September centers on regional events and committee openings ahead of the October 4 first round, reinforcing trader consensus around the frontrunner’s structural advantages.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLucas Ribeiro 82%
Efraim Filho 12%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$62,911 Vol.
$62,911 Vol.
4 out 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
82%
Efraim Filho
12%
Cícero Lucena
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Flávio Lúcio
<1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 82%
Efraim Filho 12%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$62,911 Vol.
$62,911 Vol.
4 out 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,835 Vol.
82%
Efraim Filho
$14,318 Vol.
12%
Cícero Lucena
$20,573 Vol.
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
$919 Vol.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,461 Vol.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$902 Vol.
<1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,384 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, leads the Paraíba gubernatorial race with consistent first-round polling support of 35–43% across recent surveys through early September. His position benefits from incumbency, established party machinery in the PP, and alliances that include support for allied Senate candidates. Trailing contenders such as Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) register lower shares in the same polls, typically in the high teens to low thirties, with second-round simulations showing Ribeiro prevailing in head-to-head matchups. Campaign activity in mid-September centers on regional events and committee openings ahead of the October 4 first round, reinforcing trader consensus around the frontrunner’s structural advantages.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volume
$62,911Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, leads the Paraíba gubernatorial race with consistent first-round polling support of 35–43% across recent surveys through early September. His position benefits from incumbency, established party machinery in the PP, and alliances that include support for allied Senate candidates. Trailing contenders such as Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) register lower shares in the same polls, typically in the high teens to low thirties, with second-round simulations showing Ribeiro prevailing in head-to-head matchups. Campaign activity in mid-September centers on regional events and committee openings ahead of the October 4 first round, reinforcing trader consensus around the frontrunner’s structural advantages.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,911Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, leads the Paraíba gubernatorial race with consistent first-round polling support of 35–43% across recent surveys through early September. His position benefits from incumbency, established party machinery in the PP, and alliances that include support for allied Senate candidates. Trailing contenders such as Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) register lower shares in the same polls, typically in the high teens to low thirties, with second-round simulations showing Ribeiro prevailing in head-to-head matchups. Campaign activity in mid-September centers on regional events and committee openings ahead of the October 4 first round, reinforcing trader consensus around the frontrunner’s structural advantages.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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