**The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, aligning closely with the market's dominant 46.0–48.9 outcome at 74% implied probability.** This drop reflects heightened one-year inflation expectations, which surged to 4.6% amid a resurgence in fuel prices—gasoline rose 3.9% month-over-month in August and 27.4% year-over-year—along with ongoing trade tensions that weighed on year-ahead personal finance and business conditions expectations. The index sits 13% below year-ago levels and 16% below February readings prior to the Iran conflict, underscoring persistent cost-of-living pressures despite a resilient broader economy. The final September release on September 25 could see modest revisions, but recent data releases and sentiment drivers support trader consensus around the low-to-mid 40s range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUniversity of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026
46.0 to 48.9 74%
43.0 to 45.9 21%
49.0 to 51.9 4.1%
<43.0 3.6%
$10,806 Wol.
$10,806 Wol.
Sep 25, 2026
<43.0
4%
43.0 to 45.9
21%
46.0 to 48.9
74%
49.0 to 51.9
4%
52.0 to 54.9
<1%
55.0 to 57.9
3%
58.0+
<1%
46.0 to 48.9 74%
43.0 to 45.9 21%
49.0 to 51.9 4.1%
<43.0 3.6%
$10,806 Wol.
$10,806 Wol.
Sep 25, 2026
<43.0
$755 Wol.
4%
43.0 to 45.9
$1,521 Wol.
21%
46.0 to 48.9
$5,784 Wol.
74%
49.0 to 51.9
$595 Wol.
4%
52.0 to 54.9
$470 Wol.
<1%
55.0 to 57.9
$1,238 Wol.
3%
58.0+
$442 Wol.
<1%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, aligning closely with the market's dominant 46.0–48.9 outcome at 74% implied probability.** This drop reflects heightened one-year inflation expectations, which surged to 4.6% amid a resurgence in fuel prices—gasoline rose 3.9% month-over-month in August and 27.4% year-over-year—along with ongoing trade tensions that weighed on year-ahead personal finance and business conditions expectations. The index sits 13% below year-ago levels and 16% below February readings prior to the Iran conflict, underscoring persistent cost-of-living pressures despite a resilient broader economy. The final September release on September 25 could see modest revisions, but recent data releases and sentiment drivers support trader consensus around the low-to-mid 40s range.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,806Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, aligning closely with the market's dominant 46.0–48.9 outcome at 74% implied probability.** This drop reflects heightened one-year inflation expectations, which surged to 4.6% amid a resurgence in fuel prices—gasoline rose 3.9% month-over-month in August and 27.4% year-over-year—along with ongoing trade tensions that weighed on year-ahead personal finance and business conditions expectations. The index sits 13% below year-ago levels and 16% below February readings prior to the Iran conflict, underscoring persistent cost-of-living pressures despite a resilient broader economy. The final September release on September 25 could see modest revisions, but recent data releases and sentiment drivers support trader consensus around the low-to-mid 40s range.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$10,806Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, aligning closely with the market's dominant 46.0–48.9 outcome at 74% implied probability.** This drop reflects heightened one-year inflation expectations, which surged to 4.6% amid a resurgence in fuel prices—gasoline rose 3.9% month-over-month in August and 27.4% year-over-year—along with ongoing trade tensions that weighed on year-ahead personal finance and business conditions expectations. The index sits 13% below year-ago levels and 16% below February readings prior to the Iran conflict, underscoring persistent cost-of-living pressures despite a resilient broader economy. The final September release on September 25 could see modest revisions, but recent data releases and sentiment drivers support trader consensus around the low-to-mid 40s range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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