The 30-year Treasury yield trades near 5.35-5.37 percent, its highest level since 2007, reflecting sticky August CPI at 3.4 percent year-over-year alongside core readings near 2.4 percent and producer price pressures. Markets price a high probability of a Federal Reserve 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures embedding further tightening over the next year amid elevated inflation expectations and a widening term premium. Heavy Treasury issuance, projected deficits near $2.1 trillion, and competing corporate supply tied to AI infrastructure have lifted long-end yields despite recent auctions clearing strongly. The upcoming FOMC decision and subsequent inflation data releases represent key near-term catalysts that could influence whether yields sustain these levels or retrace toward historical averages before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
NOWE
Dec 30, 2026
Below 5.20%
80%
Below 5.15%
70%
Below 5.10%
63%
Below 5.05%
54%
Below 5.00%
46%
Below 4.95%
41%
Below 4.90%
37%
Below 4.80%
22%
Below 4.60%
16%
$143 Wol.
Below 5.20%
$0 Wol.
80%
Below 5.15%
$0 Wol.
70%
Below 5.10%
$60 Wol.
63%
Below 5.05%
$0 Wol.
54%
Below 5.00%
$15 Wol.
46%
Below 4.95%
$5 Wol.
41%
Below 4.90%
$62 Wol.
37%
Below 4.80%
$0 Wol.
22%
Below 4.60%
$0 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield trades near 5.35-5.37 percent, its highest level since 2007, reflecting sticky August CPI at 3.4 percent year-over-year alongside core readings near 2.4 percent and producer price pressures. Markets price a high probability of a Federal Reserve 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures embedding further tightening over the next year amid elevated inflation expectations and a widening term premium. Heavy Treasury issuance, projected deficits near $2.1 trillion, and competing corporate supply tied to AI infrastructure have lifted long-end yields despite recent auctions clearing strongly. The upcoming FOMC decision and subsequent inflation data releases represent key near-term catalysts that could influence whether yields sustain these levels or retrace toward historical averages before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$143Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield trades near 5.35-5.37 percent, its highest level since 2007, reflecting sticky August CPI at 3.4 percent year-over-year alongside core readings near 2.4 percent and producer price pressures. Markets price a high probability of a Federal Reserve 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures embedding further tightening over the next year amid elevated inflation expectations and a widening term premium. Heavy Treasury issuance, projected deficits near $2.1 trillion, and competing corporate supply tied to AI infrastructure have lifted long-end yields despite recent auctions clearing strongly. The upcoming FOMC decision and subsequent inflation data releases represent key near-term catalysts that could influence whether yields sustain these levels or retrace toward historical averages before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Wolumen
$143Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield trades near 5.35-5.37 percent, its highest level since 2007, reflecting sticky August CPI at 3.4 percent year-over-year alongside core readings near 2.4 percent and producer price pressures. Markets price a high probability of a Federal Reserve 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures embedding further tightening over the next year amid elevated inflation expectations and a widening term premium. Heavy Treasury issuance, projected deficits near $2.1 trillion, and competing corporate supply tied to AI infrastructure have lifted long-end yields despite recent auctions clearing strongly. The upcoming FOMC decision and subsequent inflation data releases represent key near-term catalysts that could influence whether yields sustain these levels or retrace toward historical averages before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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