The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNicoletti 51.6%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$62,375 Wol.
$62,375 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
52%
Teresa Surita
26%
Helena da Asatur
19%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 51.6%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$62,375 Wol.
$62,375 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$11,121 Wol.
52%
Teresa Surita
$18,485 Wol.
26%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 Wol.
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 Wol.
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,898 Wol.
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Wol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$810 Wol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Wol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Wol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Wol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Wol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Wol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$62,375Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$62,375Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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