Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) maintains a clear lead in recent polls for one Senate seat in Mato Grosso do Sul, leaving the second position contested among Capitão Contar (PL), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and Vander Loubet (PT). Nelsinho Trad’s withdrawal to serve as Azambuja’s alternate has consolidated support within the PL ticket, bolstering Contar’s positioning in combined-vote scenarios. Polling averages from August and early September show Contar frequently ahead or tied for second, while Vander has gained ground in some surveys and Soraya holds steady backing from her base. With voters selecting two candidates and roughly one month until the October election, turnout patterns, last-minute alliances, and final debate performances remain key variables that could shift the narrow margins reflected in trader pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCapitão Contar 59%
Soraya 19.3%
Vander Loubet 18%
Reinaldo Azambuja 3.5%
$22,809 Wol.
$22,809 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Contar
59%
Soraya
19%
Vander Loubet
18%
Reinaldo Azambuja
4%
Beto do Movimento
<1%
Valter da Comagran
<1%
Roberto Oshiro
<1%
Luiz Lemes
<1%
Daniel Junior
<1%
Valderi Garcia
<1%
Capitão Contar 59%
Soraya 19.3%
Vander Loubet 18%
Reinaldo Azambuja 3.5%
$22,809 Wol.
$22,809 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Contar
$8,716 Wol.
59%
Soraya
$2,516 Wol.
19%
Vander Loubet
$6,646 Wol.
18%
Reinaldo Azambuja
$1,042 Wol.
4%
Beto do Movimento
$684 Wol.
<1%
Valter da Comagran
$719 Wol.
<1%
Roberto Oshiro
$757 Wol.
<1%
Luiz Lemes
$787 Wol.
<1%
Daniel Junior
$497 Wol.
<1%
Valderi Garcia
$444 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) maintains a clear lead in recent polls for one Senate seat in Mato Grosso do Sul, leaving the second position contested among Capitão Contar (PL), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and Vander Loubet (PT). Nelsinho Trad’s withdrawal to serve as Azambuja’s alternate has consolidated support within the PL ticket, bolstering Contar’s positioning in combined-vote scenarios. Polling averages from August and early September show Contar frequently ahead or tied for second, while Vander has gained ground in some surveys and Soraya holds steady backing from her base. With voters selecting two candidates and roughly one month until the October election, turnout patterns, last-minute alliances, and final debate performances remain key variables that could shift the narrow margins reflected in trader pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,809Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) maintains a clear lead in recent polls for one Senate seat in Mato Grosso do Sul, leaving the second position contested among Capitão Contar (PL), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and Vander Loubet (PT). Nelsinho Trad’s withdrawal to serve as Azambuja’s alternate has consolidated support within the PL ticket, bolstering Contar’s positioning in combined-vote scenarios. Polling averages from August and early September show Contar frequently ahead or tied for second, while Vander has gained ground in some surveys and Soraya holds steady backing from her base. With voters selecting two candidates and roughly one month until the October election, turnout patterns, last-minute alliances, and final debate performances remain key variables that could shift the narrow margins reflected in trader pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$22,809Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) maintains a clear lead in recent polls for one Senate seat in Mato Grosso do Sul, leaving the second position contested among Capitão Contar (PL), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and Vander Loubet (PT). Nelsinho Trad’s withdrawal to serve as Azambuja’s alternate has consolidated support within the PL ticket, bolstering Contar’s positioning in combined-vote scenarios. Polling averages from August and early September show Contar frequently ahead or tied for second, while Vander has gained ground in some surveys and Soraya holds steady backing from her base. With voters selecting two candidates and roughly one month until the October election, turnout patterns, last-minute alliances, and final debate performances remain key variables that could shift the narrow margins reflected in trader pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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