Recent August 2026 polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas show Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading comfortably for one Espírito Santo Senate seat with roughly 28-30% consolidated support, while six or more candidates remain locked in a technical tie for second place ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante) each register single-digit to low-double-digit shares in consolidated first-and-second-preference scenarios, reflecting a fragmented field of experienced state and federal politicians. High spontaneous undecided rates above 80% in some surveys, combined with voters selecting two senators, keep the contest for the second slot fluid. Late-campaign momentum, turnout patterns among key regional bases, and any shifts in party coalitions could still reorder the middle of the pack before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSergio Meneguelli 32%
Fabiano Contarato 23.1%
Maguinha Malta 22.3%
Rose de Freitas 20.4%
$40,581 Wol.
$40,581 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
32%
Fabiano Contarato
23%
Maguinha Malta
29%
Rose de Freitas
21%
Evair de Melo
6%
Renato Casagrande
4%
Leonardo Monjardim
<1%
Callegari
<1%
Marcos do Val
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli 32%
Fabiano Contarato 23.1%
Maguinha Malta 22.3%
Rose de Freitas 20.4%
$40,581 Wol.
$40,581 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
$21,964 Wol.
32%
Fabiano Contarato
$7,100 Wol.
23%
Maguinha Malta
$1,575 Wol.
29%
Rose de Freitas
$4,628 Wol.
21%
Evair de Melo
$1,285 Wol.
6%
Renato Casagrande
$1,096 Wol.
4%
Leonardo Monjardim
$666 Wol.
<1%
Callegari
$798 Wol.
<1%
Marcos do Val
$632 Wol.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$422 Wol.
<1%
Rodney Miranda
$414 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August 2026 polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas show Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading comfortably for one Espírito Santo Senate seat with roughly 28-30% consolidated support, while six or more candidates remain locked in a technical tie for second place ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante) each register single-digit to low-double-digit shares in consolidated first-and-second-preference scenarios, reflecting a fragmented field of experienced state and federal politicians. High spontaneous undecided rates above 80% in some surveys, combined with voters selecting two senators, keep the contest for the second slot fluid. Late-campaign momentum, turnout patterns among key regional bases, and any shifts in party coalitions could still reorder the middle of the pack before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,581Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August 2026 polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas show Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading comfortably for one Espírito Santo Senate seat with roughly 28-30% consolidated support, while six or more candidates remain locked in a technical tie for second place ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante) each register single-digit to low-double-digit shares in consolidated first-and-second-preference scenarios, reflecting a fragmented field of experienced state and federal politicians. High spontaneous undecided rates above 80% in some surveys, combined with voters selecting two senators, keep the contest for the second slot fluid. Late-campaign momentum, turnout patterns among key regional bases, and any shifts in party coalitions could still reorder the middle of the pack before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$40,581Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas show Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading comfortably for one Espírito Santo Senate seat with roughly 28-30% consolidated support, while six or more candidates remain locked in a technical tie for second place ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante) each register single-digit to low-double-digit shares in consolidated first-and-second-preference scenarios, reflecting a fragmented field of experienced state and federal politicians. High spontaneous undecided rates above 80% in some surveys, combined with voters selecting two senators, keep the contest for the second slot fluid. Late-campaign momentum, turnout patterns among key regional bases, and any shifts in party coalitions could still reorder the middle of the pack before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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