Recent energy price surges, including a 3.9% August gasoline increase that drove the monthly CPI to +0.4%, anchor trader focus for the September 2026 annual inflation print, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast at 3.43% and consensus forecasts near 3.55%. August's headline rate held steady at 3.4% year-over-year while core eased to 2.4%, yet rising one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% amid trade tensions and fuel costs introduce upside risks to the distribution. The tight clustering around 3.4–3.6% outcomes reflects uncertainty over shelter persistence and goods price momentum, with the October 14 release serving as the key catalyst that could shift implied probabilities based on composition details.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSeptember Inflation US - Annual
September Inflation US - Annual
3.5% 33%
3.6% 31%
3.4% 22%
3.7% 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.9%
4%
3.0%
5%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
5%
3.4%
22%
3.5%
33%
3.6%
31%
3.7%
8%
3.8%
4%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
4%
3.5% 33%
3.6% 31%
3.4% 22%
3.7% 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.9%
$83 Wol.
4%
3.0%
$67 Wol.
5%
3.1%
$64 Wol.
5%
3.2%
$87 Wol.
5%
3.3%
$345 Wol.
5%
3.4%
$616 Wol.
22%
3.5%
$1,138 Wol.
33%
3.6%
$725 Wol.
31%
3.7%
$309 Wol.
8%
3.8%
$54 Wol.
4%
3.9%
$288 Wol.
1%
≥4.0%
$129 Wol.
4%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price surges, including a 3.9% August gasoline increase that drove the monthly CPI to +0.4%, anchor trader focus for the September 2026 annual inflation print, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast at 3.43% and consensus forecasts near 3.55%. August's headline rate held steady at 3.4% year-over-year while core eased to 2.4%, yet rising one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% amid trade tensions and fuel costs introduce upside risks to the distribution. The tight clustering around 3.4–3.6% outcomes reflects uncertainty over shelter persistence and goods price momentum, with the October 14 release serving as the key catalyst that could shift implied probabilities based on composition details.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,906Data zakończenia
Oct 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price surges, including a 3.9% August gasoline increase that drove the monthly CPI to +0.4%, anchor trader focus for the September 2026 annual inflation print, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast at 3.43% and consensus forecasts near 3.55%. August's headline rate held steady at 3.4% year-over-year while core eased to 2.4%, yet rising one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% amid trade tensions and fuel costs introduce upside risks to the distribution. The tight clustering around 3.4–3.6% outcomes reflects uncertainty over shelter persistence and goods price momentum, with the October 14 release serving as the key catalyst that could shift implied probabilities based on composition details.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$3,906Data zakończenia
Oct 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent energy price surges, including a 3.9% August gasoline increase that drove the monthly CPI to +0.4%, anchor trader focus for the September 2026 annual inflation print, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast at 3.43% and consensus forecasts near 3.55%. August's headline rate held steady at 3.4% year-over-year while core eased to 2.4%, yet rising one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% amid trade tensions and fuel costs introduce upside risks to the distribution. The tight clustering around 3.4–3.6% outcomes reflects uncertainty over shelter persistence and goods price momentum, with the October 14 release serving as the key catalyst that could shift implied probabilities based on composition details.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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