Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing near 92 percent for his victory. Recent polls from early to mid-September show him at 61-66 percent of valid votes in the first round, roughly double the share for incumbent Clécio Luís (União), with all other candidates below 3 percent. His consistent advantage stems from strong name recognition as former Macapá mayor, broad party coalition support including PL and PODE, and intensive campaigning across northern and southern municipalities ahead of the October 4 first round. A first-round win remains plausible given the margin. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp turnout shifts could still narrow the gap, though current polling stability and momentum make such reversals unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDr. Furlan 92%
Clécio Luís 3.7%
Marcos Reategui 3.7%
Jairo Palheta 2.2%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Furlan
92%
Clécio Luís
4%
Marcos Reategui
4%
Jairo Palheta
2%
Carlos Cley
1%
Dr. Furlan 92%
Clécio Luís 3.7%
Marcos Reategui 3.7%
Jairo Palheta 2.2%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Furlan
$6,944 Wol.
92%
Clécio Luís
$318 Wol.
4%
Marcos Reategui
$214 Wol.
4%
Jairo Palheta
$374 Wol.
2%
Carlos Cley
$133 Wol.
1%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing near 92 percent for his victory. Recent polls from early to mid-September show him at 61-66 percent of valid votes in the first round, roughly double the share for incumbent Clécio Luís (União), with all other candidates below 3 percent. His consistent advantage stems from strong name recognition as former Macapá mayor, broad party coalition support including PL and PODE, and intensive campaigning across northern and southern municipalities ahead of the October 4 first round. A first-round win remains plausible given the margin. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp turnout shifts could still narrow the gap, though current polling stability and momentum make such reversals unlikely.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,983Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing near 92 percent for his victory. Recent polls from early to mid-September show him at 61-66 percent of valid votes in the first round, roughly double the share for incumbent Clécio Luís (União), with all other candidates below 3 percent. His consistent advantage stems from strong name recognition as former Macapá mayor, broad party coalition support including PL and PODE, and intensive campaigning across northern and southern municipalities ahead of the October 4 first round. A first-round win remains plausible given the margin. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp turnout shifts could still narrow the gap, though current polling stability and momentum make such reversals unlikely.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$7,983Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing near 92 percent for his victory. Recent polls from early to mid-September show him at 61-66 percent of valid votes in the first round, roughly double the share for incumbent Clécio Luís (União), with all other candidates below 3 percent. His consistent advantage stems from strong name recognition as former Macapá mayor, broad party coalition support including PL and PODE, and intensive campaigning across northern and southern municipalities ahead of the October 4 first round. A first-round win remains plausible given the margin. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp turnout shifts could still narrow the gap, though current polling stability and momentum make such reversals unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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