Tina Kotek’s position as Democratic incumbent seeking a second term underpins trader consensus for her victory in the November 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. She secured her party’s nomination overwhelmingly in the May primary, while Republican Christine Drazan, the 2022 nominee, won her rematch bid after a competitive GOP primary. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Democrat following its July shift from Solid D, citing Oregon’s partisan lean and Kotek’s structural advantages despite her low approval ratings around 38 percent and voter concerns over housing, education, and homelessness. A June Republican poll showed Drazan statistically tied or slightly ahead, yet broader models project Kotek prevailing by mid-single digits, consistent with the current market pricing. The race is expected to intensify this fall with increased spending and messaging on economic performance and state direction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,107 Vol.
$42,107 Vol.
2026/11/02
ティナ・コテック（民主党）
87%
クリスティーン・ドラザン（共和党）
14%
$42,107 Vol.
$42,107 Vol.
2026/11/02
ティナ・コテック（民主党）
$23,423 Vol.
87%
クリスティーン・ドラザン（共和党）
$18,684 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tina Kotek’s position as Democratic incumbent seeking a second term underpins trader consensus for her victory in the November 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. She secured her party’s nomination overwhelmingly in the May primary, while Republican Christine Drazan, the 2022 nominee, won her rematch bid after a competitive GOP primary. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Democrat following its July shift from Solid D, citing Oregon’s partisan lean and Kotek’s structural advantages despite her low approval ratings around 38 percent and voter concerns over housing, education, and homelessness. A June Republican poll showed Drazan statistically tied or slightly ahead, yet broader models project Kotek prevailing by mid-single digits, consistent with the current market pricing. The race is expected to intensify this fall with increased spending and messaging on economic performance and state direction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$42,107終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tina Kotek’s position as Democratic incumbent seeking a second term underpins trader consensus for her victory in the November 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. She secured her party’s nomination overwhelmingly in the May primary, while Republican Christine Drazan, the 2022 nominee, won her rematch bid after a competitive GOP primary. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Democrat following its July shift from Solid D, citing Oregon’s partisan lean and Kotek’s structural advantages despite her low approval ratings around 38 percent and voter concerns over housing, education, and homelessness. A June Republican poll showed Drazan statistically tied or slightly ahead, yet broader models project Kotek prevailing by mid-single digits, consistent with the current market pricing. The race is expected to intensify this fall with increased spending and messaging on economic performance and state direction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$42,107終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Tina Kotek’s position as Democratic incumbent seeking a second term underpins trader consensus for her victory in the November 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. She secured her party’s nomination overwhelmingly in the May primary, while Republican Christine Drazan, the 2022 nominee, won her rematch bid after a competitive GOP primary. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Democrat following its July shift from Solid D, citing Oregon’s partisan lean and Kotek’s structural advantages despite her low approval ratings around 38 percent and voter concerns over housing, education, and homelessness. A June Republican poll showed Drazan statistically tied or slightly ahead, yet broader models project Kotek prevailing by mid-single digits, consistent with the current market pricing. The race is expected to intensify this fall with increased spending and messaging on economic performance and state direction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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