Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a 36-point Trump victory in 2024, and his own primary win with nearly 59 percent of the vote against multiple challengers. Democrat Terri Pickens, who secured her party's nomination with 61 percent, faces structural headwinds in a state with Republican supermajorities in the legislature and no Democratic governor elected in decades. Recent polls from July and September show Little ahead by double digits even amid undecided voters and minor independent candidates. Trader consensus at 98 percent reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 election. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or turnout shifts could still narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,920 Vol.
$23,920 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・リトル（共和党）
98%
テリー・ピッケンズ（民主党）
2%
$23,920 Vol.
$23,920 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・リトル（共和党）
$20,099 Vol.
98%
テリー・ピッケンズ（民主党）
$3,821 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a 36-point Trump victory in 2024, and his own primary win with nearly 59 percent of the vote against multiple challengers. Democrat Terri Pickens, who secured her party's nomination with 61 percent, faces structural headwinds in a state with Republican supermajorities in the legislature and no Democratic governor elected in decades. Recent polls from July and September show Little ahead by double digits even amid undecided voters and minor independent candidates. Trader consensus at 98 percent reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 election. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or turnout shifts could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$23,920終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a 36-point Trump victory in 2024, and his own primary win with nearly 59 percent of the vote against multiple challengers. Democrat Terri Pickens, who secured her party's nomination with 61 percent, faces structural headwinds in a state with Republican supermajorities in the legislature and no Democratic governor elected in decades. Recent polls from July and September show Little ahead by double digits even amid undecided voters and minor independent candidates. Trader consensus at 98 percent reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 election. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or turnout shifts could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$23,920終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a 36-point Trump victory in 2024, and his own primary win with nearly 59 percent of the vote against multiple challengers. Democrat Terri Pickens, who secured her party's nomination with 61 percent, faces structural headwinds in a state with Republican supermajorities in the legislature and no Democratic governor elected in decades. Recent polls from July and September show Little ahead by double digits even amid undecided voters and minor independent candidates. Trader consensus at 98 percent reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 election. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or turnout shifts could still narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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