Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ミシェル・ボルソナロ 83%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ 2.5%
ビア・キシス 1.4%
エリカ・コカイ 1.1%
$28,214 Vol.
$28,214 Vol.
2026/10/04
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
83%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ
3%
ビア・キシス
1%
エリカ・コカイ
1%
グート・フェリシオ・ドス・サントス
<1%
アヴニール・ローザ
<1%
デイビッド・ホーン
<1%
ギリェルメ・アモリム教授
<1%
ロナウド・フォンセカ
<1%
セバスチャン・コエーリョ
<1%
マーリー
<1%
ティアゴ
<1%
ザナタ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ 83%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ 2.5%
ビア・キシス 1.4%
エリカ・コカイ 1.1%
$28,214 Vol.
$28,214 Vol.
2026/10/04
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$12,178 Vol.
83%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ
$4,157 Vol.
3%
ビア・キシス
$4,333 Vol.
1%
エリカ・コカイ
$2,021 Vol.
1%
グート・フェリシオ・ドス・サントス
$794 Vol.
<1%
アヴニール・ローザ
$801 Vol.
<1%
デイビッド・ホーン
$505 Vol.
<1%
ギリェルメ・アモリム教授
$795 Vol.
<1%
ロナウド・フォンセカ
$674 Vol.
<1%
セバスチャン・コエーリョ
$556 Vol.
<1%
マーリー
$381 Vol.
<1%
ティアゴ
$489 Vol.
<1%
ザナタ
$530 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
音量
$28,214終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$28,214終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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