Recent polling in the Amapá Senate race shows Rayssa Furlan holding a clear lead for one of the two seats, while Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto remain in a technical tie for second place ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Latest surveys from early September place Barreto narrowly ahead of Randolfe in combined first- and second-preference tallies, consistent with the market's slight edge for Randolfe on the 2nd-place contract. Both incumbents benefit from name recognition and established party structures, though Randolfe carries higher rejection ratings. Scheduled debates and media interviews through early September, along with final voter shifts in the remaining weeks, could widen or close the narrow gap between the two. Lower-polling names such as Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trail further behind.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ランドルフェ 46%
ルーカス・バヘト 40%
アリニー・セラオン 7%
カピ 4.0%
$16,488 Vol.
$16,488 Vol.
2026/10/04
ランドルフェ
46%
ルーカス・バヘト
40%
アリニー・セラオン
7%
カピ
4%
アカシオ・ファヴァショ
4%
ウジアン・ピント教授
3%
ジュイザ・ジョー
3%
レイッサ・フルラン
9%
エリオ・シルバ
1%
ランドルフェ 46%
ルーカス・バヘト 40%
アリニー・セラオン 7%
カピ 4.0%
$16,488 Vol.
$16,488 Vol.
2026/10/04
ランドルフェ
$8,911 Vol.
46%
ルーカス・バヘト
$3,421 Vol.
40%
アリニー・セラオン
$645 Vol.
7%
カピ
$237 Vol.
4%
アカシオ・ファヴァショ
$482 Vol.
4%
ウジアン・ピント教授
$511 Vol.
3%
ジュイザ・ジョー
$184 Vol.
3%
レイッサ・フルラン
$282 Vol.
9%
エリオ・シルバ
$1,816 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Amapá Senate race shows Rayssa Furlan holding a clear lead for one of the two seats, while Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto remain in a technical tie for second place ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Latest surveys from early September place Barreto narrowly ahead of Randolfe in combined first- and second-preference tallies, consistent with the market's slight edge for Randolfe on the 2nd-place contract. Both incumbents benefit from name recognition and established party structures, though Randolfe carries higher rejection ratings. Scheduled debates and media interviews through early September, along with final voter shifts in the remaining weeks, could widen or close the narrow gap between the two. Lower-polling names such as Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trail further behind.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
音量
$16,488終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Amapá Senate race shows Rayssa Furlan holding a clear lead for one of the two seats, while Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto remain in a technical tie for second place ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Latest surveys from early September place Barreto narrowly ahead of Randolfe in combined first- and second-preference tallies, consistent with the market's slight edge for Randolfe on the 2nd-place contract. Both incumbents benefit from name recognition and established party structures, though Randolfe carries higher rejection ratings. Scheduled debates and media interviews through early September, along with final voter shifts in the remaining weeks, could widen or close the narrow gap between the two. Lower-polling names such as Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trail further behind.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$16,488終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Amapá Senate race shows Rayssa Furlan holding a clear lead for one of the two seats, while Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto remain in a technical tie for second place ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Latest surveys from early September place Barreto narrowly ahead of Randolfe in combined first- and second-preference tallies, consistent with the market's slight edge for Randolfe on the 2nd-place contract. Both incumbents benefit from name recognition and established party structures, though Randolfe carries higher rejection ratings. Scheduled debates and media interviews through early September, along with final voter shifts in the remaining weeks, could widen or close the narrow gap between the two. Lower-polling names such as Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trail further behind.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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