Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, leads trader assessments for the October 4 first-round vote amid Bahia’s pattern of sustained Workers’ Party dominance in state executive contests. His positioning reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including with vice-governor Geraldo Júnior of the MDB, and ongoing campaign emphasis on education expansion. ACM Neto of União Brasil, the primary challenger and former Salvador mayor, remains competitive in recent polling that often shows a technical tie or narrow edges for either candidate within margins of error, yet trails in current pricing. Minor candidates such as João Roma register negligible support. A potential runoff on October 25 would hinge on first-round margins and coalition dynamics in this closely watched state race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジェロニモ・ロドリゲス 58%
ACMネト 32%
ジョアン・ロマ <1%
ジョゼ・カルロス・アレルイア <1%
$153,980 Vol.
$153,980 Vol.
2026/10/04
ジェロニモ・ロドリゲス
58%
ACMネト
37%
ジョアン・ロマ
<1%
ジョゼ・カルロス・アレルイア
<1%
クレベル・ホーザ
<1%
ルイ・コスタ
<1%
ブルーノ・ソアレス・ヘイス
<1%
ジェロニモ・ロドリゲス 58%
ACMネト 32%
ジョアン・ロマ <1%
ジョゼ・カルロス・アレルイア <1%
$153,980 Vol.
$153,980 Vol.
2026/10/04
ジェロニモ・ロドリゲス
$50,761 Vol.
58%
ACMネト
$61,095 Vol.
37%
ジョアン・ロマ
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
ジョゼ・カルロス・アレルイア
$11,986 Vol.
<1%
クレベル・ホーザ
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
ルイ・コスタ
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
ブルーノ・ソアレス・ヘイス
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, leads trader assessments for the October 4 first-round vote amid Bahia’s pattern of sustained Workers’ Party dominance in state executive contests. His positioning reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including with vice-governor Geraldo Júnior of the MDB, and ongoing campaign emphasis on education expansion. ACM Neto of União Brasil, the primary challenger and former Salvador mayor, remains competitive in recent polling that often shows a technical tie or narrow edges for either candidate within margins of error, yet trails in current pricing. Minor candidates such as João Roma register negligible support. A potential runoff on October 25 would hinge on first-round margins and coalition dynamics in this closely watched state race.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
音量
$153,980終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, leads trader assessments for the October 4 first-round vote amid Bahia’s pattern of sustained Workers’ Party dominance in state executive contests. His positioning reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including with vice-governor Geraldo Júnior of the MDB, and ongoing campaign emphasis on education expansion. ACM Neto of União Brasil, the primary challenger and former Salvador mayor, remains competitive in recent polling that often shows a technical tie or narrow edges for either candidate within margins of error, yet trails in current pricing. Minor candidates such as João Roma register negligible support. A potential runoff on October 25 would hinge on first-round margins and coalition dynamics in this closely watched state race.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$153,980終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, leads trader assessments for the October 4 first-round vote amid Bahia’s pattern of sustained Workers’ Party dominance in state executive contests. His positioning reflects incumbency advantages, established alliances including with vice-governor Geraldo Júnior of the MDB, and ongoing campaign emphasis on education expansion. ACM Neto of União Brasil, the primary challenger and former Salvador mayor, remains competitive in recent polling that often shows a technical tie or narrow edges for either candidate within margins of error, yet trails in current pricing. Minor candidates such as João Roma register negligible support. A potential runoff on October 25 would hinge on first-round margins and coalition dynamics in this closely watched state race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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