Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the strongest position for first place in Amapá’s October 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads across recent surveys. The latest Real Time Big Data poll (September 3–7) placed her at 33% consolidated intentions and 41% on first-preference votes, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Earlier Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest surveys showed similar patterns, with Furlan often exceeding 50% in stimulated scenarios while rivals clustered below 40%. Her advantage stems from high name recognition as a physician and former first lady of Macapá, combined with momentum from her husband Dr. Furlan’s dominant gubernatorial campaign. Lower rejection rates and broad coalition support further consolidate trader consensus around her frontrunner status for the top vote total.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日レイサ・フルラン 81%
ランドルフェ 6.0%
ルーカス・バレート 4.0%
アリニー・セラオン <1%
$33,027 Vol.
$33,027 Vol.
2026/10/04
レイサ・フルラン
81%
ランドルフェ
6%
ルーカス・バレート
4%
アリニー・セラオン
1%
アカシオ・ファヴァショ
<1%
エリオ・シルバ
<1%
ジュイザ・ジョー
<1%
ウジアン・ピント教授
<1%
カピ
<1%
レイサ・フルラン 81%
ランドルフェ 6.0%
ルーカス・バレート 4.0%
アリニー・セラオン <1%
$33,027 Vol.
$33,027 Vol.
2026/10/04
レイサ・フルラン
$24,894 Vol.
81%
ランドルフェ
$1,437 Vol.
6%
ルーカス・バレート
$1,386 Vol.
4%
アリニー・セラオン
$1,207 Vol.
1%
アカシオ・ファヴァショ
$879 Vol.
<1%
エリオ・シルバ
$573 Vol.
<1%
ジュイザ・ジョー
$952 Vol.
<1%
ウジアン・ピント教授
$947 Vol.
<1%
カピ
$751 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the strongest position for first place in Amapá’s October 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads across recent surveys. The latest Real Time Big Data poll (September 3–7) placed her at 33% consolidated intentions and 41% on first-preference votes, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Earlier Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest surveys showed similar patterns, with Furlan often exceeding 50% in stimulated scenarios while rivals clustered below 40%. Her advantage stems from high name recognition as a physician and former first lady of Macapá, combined with momentum from her husband Dr. Furlan’s dominant gubernatorial campaign. Lower rejection rates and broad coalition support further consolidate trader consensus around her frontrunner status for the top vote total.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
音量
$33,027終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the strongest position for first place in Amapá’s October 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads across recent surveys. The latest Real Time Big Data poll (September 3–7) placed her at 33% consolidated intentions and 41% on first-preference votes, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Earlier Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest surveys showed similar patterns, with Furlan often exceeding 50% in stimulated scenarios while rivals clustered below 40%. Her advantage stems from high name recognition as a physician and former first lady of Macapá, combined with momentum from her husband Dr. Furlan’s dominant gubernatorial campaign. Lower rejection rates and broad coalition support further consolidate trader consensus around her frontrunner status for the top vote total.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$33,027終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the strongest position for first place in Amapá’s October 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads across recent surveys. The latest Real Time Big Data poll (September 3–7) placed her at 33% consolidated intentions and 41% on first-preference votes, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Earlier Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest surveys showed similar patterns, with Furlan often exceeding 50% in stimulated scenarios while rivals clustered below 40%. Her advantage stems from high name recognition as a physician and former first lady of Macapá, combined with momentum from her husband Dr. Furlan’s dominant gubernatorial campaign. Lower rejection rates and broad coalition support further consolidate trader consensus around her frontrunner status for the top vote total.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問