Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS indicates Zhengzhou's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle near 19–20°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop by trapping longwave radiation and adding latent heat, producing a narrower diurnal range than September's historical average low near 17°C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–19°C because small differences in precipitation timing or cloud thickness across ensemble members can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Zhengzhou il 21 settembre?
15°C o inferiore 92%
19°C 49%
18°C 17%
17°C 9%
15°C o inferiore
92%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
17%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
15°C o inferiore 92%
19°C 49%
18°C 17%
17°C 9%
15°C o inferiore
92%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
17%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS indicates Zhengzhou's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle near 19–20°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop by trapping longwave radiation and adding latent heat, producing a narrower diurnal range than September's historical average low near 17°C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–19°C because small differences in precipitation timing or cloud thickness across ensemble members can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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