Recent forecasts for Manila on September 10 point to overnight lows near 24–25°C amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity exceeding 90%, which limits radiational cooling under persistent cloud cover. Southwest monsoon flow and scattered convective activity maintain elevated dew points around 24°C, reducing the diurnal temperature range typical for the Philippine rainy season. Model consensus from sources like GFS shows minimal overnight drops below 24°C due to these moisture-laden conditions, though localized variations in rainfall timing could allow brief dips toward 23°C in less sheltered areas. Historical September baselines average 25–26°C lows, but current enhanced precipitation supports the tight market split between the two leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Manila il 10 settembre?
24°C 51%
23°C 43%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
20°C o inferiore
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
43%
24°C
51%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 43%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
20°C o inferiore
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
43%
24°C
51%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila on September 10 point to overnight lows near 24–25°C amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity exceeding 90%, which limits radiational cooling under persistent cloud cover. Southwest monsoon flow and scattered convective activity maintain elevated dew points around 24°C, reducing the diurnal temperature range typical for the Philippine rainy season. Model consensus from sources like GFS shows minimal overnight drops below 24°C due to these moisture-laden conditions, though localized variations in rainfall timing could allow brief dips toward 23°C in less sheltered areas. Historical September baselines average 25–26°C lows, but current enhanced precipitation supports the tight market split between the two leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti