Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 12 settembre?
31°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$40,851 Vol.
$40,851 Vol.
12 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Sì
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C o superiore
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$40,851 Vol.
$40,851 Vol.
12 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$1,245 Vol.
No
26°C
$744 Vol.
No
27°C
$835 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,289 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,755 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,202 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,018 Vol.
Sì
32°C
$5,289 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,067 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,145 Vol.
No
35°C o superiore
$2,260 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$40,851Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,851Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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