Recent monthly core-core CPI readings, which exclude fresh food and energy, have stabilized near 1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data reaching 2.0% in August, aligning with analyst consensus forecasts for fiscal 2026 around 2.0%. Government energy subsidies, favorable base effects from prior food-price spikes, and subdued wage-price pass-through have contained upside risks despite yen weakness and Middle East-related crude pressures. The Bank of Japan’s downward-revised Outlook Report and institutional-factor-adjusted gauges near 2.3% underscore the market’s pricing of a 2.0-2.4% annual outcome at 68.5% implied probability, with the September 17-18 policy meeting as the next potential catalyst for shifts in trader sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 69%
≤1.9% 30%
3,0-3,4% <1%
2.5-2.9% <1%
$43,680 Vol.
$43,680 Vol.
12 feb 2027
≤1.9%
30%
2.0-2.4%
69%
2.5-2.9%
<1%
3,0-3,4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4,0%+
<1%
2.0-2.4% 69%
≤1.9% 30%
3,0-3,4% <1%
2.5-2.9% <1%
$43,680 Vol.
$43,680 Vol.
12 feb 2027
≤1.9%
$12,687 Vol.
30%
2.0-2.4%
$17,284 Vol.
69%
2.5-2.9%
$9,458 Vol.
<1%
3,0-3,4%
$1,341 Vol.
1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
4,0%+
$1,583 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent monthly core-core CPI readings, which exclude fresh food and energy, have stabilized near 1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data reaching 2.0% in August, aligning with analyst consensus forecasts for fiscal 2026 around 2.0%. Government energy subsidies, favorable base effects from prior food-price spikes, and subdued wage-price pass-through have contained upside risks despite yen weakness and Middle East-related crude pressures. The Bank of Japan’s downward-revised Outlook Report and institutional-factor-adjusted gauges near 2.3% underscore the market’s pricing of a 2.0-2.4% annual outcome at 68.5% implied probability, with the September 17-18 policy meeting as the next potential catalyst for shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercato aperto: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volume
$43,680Data di fine
12 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent monthly core-core CPI readings, which exclude fresh food and energy, have stabilized near 1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data reaching 2.0% in August, aligning with analyst consensus forecasts for fiscal 2026 around 2.0%. Government energy subsidies, favorable base effects from prior food-price spikes, and subdued wage-price pass-through have contained upside risks despite yen weakness and Middle East-related crude pressures. The Bank of Japan’s downward-revised Outlook Report and institutional-factor-adjusted gauges near 2.3% underscore the market’s pricing of a 2.0-2.4% annual outcome at 68.5% implied probability, with the September 17-18 policy meeting as the next potential catalyst for shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$43,680Data di fine
12 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly core-core CPI readings, which exclude fresh food and energy, have stabilized near 1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data reaching 2.0% in August, aligning with analyst consensus forecasts for fiscal 2026 around 2.0%. Government energy subsidies, favorable base effects from prior food-price spikes, and subdued wage-price pass-through have contained upside risks despite yen weakness and Middle East-related crude pressures. The Bank of Japan’s downward-revised Outlook Report and institutional-factor-adjusted gauges near 2.3% underscore the market’s pricing of a 2.0-2.4% annual outcome at 68.5% implied probability, with the September 17-18 policy meeting as the next potential catalyst for shifts in trader sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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