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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte

Allyson 62%

Cadu de Lula 20%

Álvaro Dias 12%

Professeur Roberio Paulino <1%

Polymarket

$20,732 Vol.

Allyson 62%

Cadu de Lula 20%

Álvaro Dias 12%

Professeur Roberio Paulino <1%

Polymarket

$20,732 Vol.

icon for Allyson

Allyson

$8,838 Vol.

62%

icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$6,417 Vol.

20%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$1,815 Vol.

12%

icon for Professeur Roberio Paulino

Professeur Roberio Paulino

$698 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$671 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$556 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$579 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$575 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$584 Vol.

<1%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), the former mayor of Mossoró, holds the leading position in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race at 62% implied probability, reflecting recent polling trends that place him ahead or in a technical tie with Cadu Xavier (PT) and Álvaro Dias (PL). Late August surveys from Quaest, Consult/Tribuna do Norte, and others showed Allyson at 25–42% in the first round, benefiting from strong interior support, a broad coalition including MDB and PSD, and lower rejection rates compared to rivals. Cadu, backed by term-limited incumbent Fátima Bezerra and President Lula, trails at 20% amid higher rejection figures, while Álvaro (PL) sits at 11.5%. Minor candidates register negligible support. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing campaign events on security and infrastructure continuing to shape trader assessments of the frontrunner's path.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,732
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), the former mayor of Mossoró, holds the leading position in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race at 62% implied probability, reflecting recent polling trends that place him ahead or in a technical tie with Cadu Xavier (PT) and Álvaro Dias (PL). Late August surveys from Quaest, Consult/Tribuna do Norte, and others showed Allyson at 25–42% in the first round, benefiting from strong interior support, a broad coalition including MDB and PSD, and lower rejection rates compared to rivals. Cadu, backed by term-limited incumbent Fátima Bezerra and President Lula, trails at 20% amid higher rejection figures, while Álvaro (PL) sits at 11.5%. Minor candidates register negligible support. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing campaign events on security and infrastructure continuing to shape trader assessments of the frontrunner's path.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,732
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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50%
icon for Eduardo Paes va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro ?

Eduardo Paes va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro ?

92%
Oui
icon for Raquel Lyra va-t-elle gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Pernambouc ?

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68%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Allyson » à 62%, suivi de « Cadu de Lula » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 62¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 62% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » a généré $20.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » est « Allyson » à 62%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 62% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Cadu de Lula » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.