Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso

Wellington Fagundes 61%

Otaviano Pivetta 38%

Mauricio Coelho <1%

Sargento Laudicério <1%

Polymarket

$25,338 Vol.

Wellington Fagundes 61%

Otaviano Pivetta 38%

Mauricio Coelho <1%

Sargento Laudicério <1%

Polymarket

$25,338 Vol.

icon for Wellington Fagundes

Wellington Fagundes

$13,656 Vol.

61%

icon for Otaviano Pivetta

Otaviano Pivetta

$8,065 Vol.

38%

icon for Mauricio Coelho

Mauricio Coelho

$1,063 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sargento Laudicério

Sargento Laudicério

$689 Vol.

<1%

icon for Doutora Natasha

Doutora Natasha

$995 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafaell Milas

Rafaell Milas

$870 Vol.

<1%

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a 60% implied probability lead in the Mato Grosso governor race, ahead of incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38%, with other candidates such as Doutora Natasha (PSD) and minor contenders trailing far behind.** The contest centers on two right-leaning figures in a state dominated by agribusiness interests, where Fagundes draws strength from his Senate record, PL party machinery, and support in northern and interior regions. Pivetta, who assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes’s departure, has gained ground in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey (September 6–8), reaching 40.8% to Fagundes’s 30% in a stimulated first-round scenario and leading head-to-head 47.2%–38.3%. Earlier polls showed tighter or reversed margins, highlighting volatility amid roughly 50% undecided or blank voters. Fagundes’s higher rejection rates and Pivetta’s approval of his administration remain key variables one month before the October vote, with regional alliances, security, and fiscal policy stances likely to influence final turnout and swing blocs.

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,338
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a 60% implied probability lead in the Mato Grosso governor race, ahead of incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38%, with other candidates such as Doutora Natasha (PSD) and minor contenders trailing far behind.** The contest centers on two right-leaning figures in a state dominated by agribusiness interests, where Fagundes draws strength from his Senate record, PL party machinery, and support in northern and interior regions. Pivetta, who assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes’s departure, has gained ground in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey (September 6–8), reaching 40.8% to Fagundes’s 30% in a stimulated first-round scenario and leading head-to-head 47.2%–38.3%. Earlier polls showed tighter or reversed margins, highlighting volatility amid roughly 50% undecided or blank voters. Fagundes’s higher rejection rates and Pivetta’s approval of his administration remain key variables one month before the October vote, with regional alliances, security, and fiscal policy stances likely to influence final turnout and swing blocs.

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,338
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Eduardo Riedel remportera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026 ?

Eduardo Riedel remportera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026 ?

97%
Oui
icon for Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

90%
icon for Eduardo Braide va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Maranhão ?

Eduardo Braide va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Maranhão ?

76%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Wellington Fagundes » à 61%, suivi de « Otaviano Pivetta » à 38%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 61¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso » a généré $25.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso » est « Wellington Fagundes » à 61%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Otaviano Pivetta » à 38%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.