Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRenato Casagrande 96.2%
Leonardo Monjardim <1%
Callegari <1%
Maguinha Malta <1%
$12,806 Vol.
$12,806 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Renato Casagrande
96%
Leonardo Monjardim
1%
Callegari
1%
Maguinha Malta
<1%
Professeur Fabian
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli
<1%
Fabiano Contarato
<1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Marcos do Val
<1%
Rose de Freitas
<1%
Evair de Melo
<1%
Renato Casagrande 96.2%
Leonardo Monjardim <1%
Callegari <1%
Maguinha Malta <1%
$12,806 Vol.
$12,806 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Renato Casagrande
$5,875 Vol.
96%
Leonardo Monjardim
$824 Vol.
1%
Callegari
$799 Vol.
1%
Maguinha Malta
$724 Vol.
<1%
Professeur Fabian
$428 Vol.
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli
$731 Vol.
<1%
Fabiano Contarato
$732 Vol.
<1%
Rodney Miranda
$706 Vol.
<1%
Marcos do Val
$720 Vol.
<1%
Rose de Freitas
$587 Vol.
<1%
Evair de Melo
$679 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$12,806Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,806Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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