Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to sustained leads in multiple registered polls conducted through mid-September, where he registers 55-66% of first-round intentions against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 30-39%. His prior terms as Macapá mayor, including a strong 2024 re-election, combined with ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities and scheduled media interviews, have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Other candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Marcos Reategui remain marginal. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, differential turnout on October 4, or any eligibility rulings before the first-round vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDr Furlan 92%
Clécio Luís 4.1%
Marcos Reategui 4.0%
Jairo Palheta 2.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Dr Furlan
92%
Clécio Luís
4%
Marcos Reategui
4%
Jairo Palheta
2%
Carlos Cley
<1%
Dr Furlan 92%
Clécio Luís 4.1%
Marcos Reategui 4.0%
Jairo Palheta 2.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Dr Furlan
$7,140 Vol.
92%
Clécio Luís
$318 Vol.
4%
Marcos Reategui
$214 Vol.
4%
Jairo Palheta
$374 Vol.
2%
Carlos Cley
$133 Vol.
<1%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to sustained leads in multiple registered polls conducted through mid-September, where he registers 55-66% of first-round intentions against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 30-39%. His prior terms as Macapá mayor, including a strong 2024 re-election, combined with ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities and scheduled media interviews, have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Other candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Marcos Reategui remain marginal. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, differential turnout on October 4, or any eligibility rulings before the first-round vote.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Volume
$8,179Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to sustained leads in multiple registered polls conducted through mid-September, where he registers 55-66% of first-round intentions against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 30-39%. His prior terms as Macapá mayor, including a strong 2024 re-election, combined with ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities and scheduled media interviews, have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Other candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Marcos Reategui remain marginal. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, differential turnout on October 4, or any eligibility rulings before the first-round vote.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$8,179Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to sustained leads in multiple registered polls conducted through mid-September, where he registers 55-66% of first-round intentions against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 30-39%. His prior terms as Macapá mayor, including a strong 2024 re-election, combined with ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities and scheduled media interviews, have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Other candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Marcos Reategui remain marginal. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, differential turnout on October 4, or any eligibility rulings before the first-round vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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