Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling at 60% or higher in recent surveys from Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data, alongside his decisive 60.87% showing in the June 2026 special election. As former Boa Vista mayor with strong PL backing and name recognition, he benefits from voter preference for continuity amid the state's prior judicial disputes over gubernatorial eligibility. Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), the current interim governor, trails at 27-32%, while minor candidates including Rosi Aires (PSOL), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), and Clébio Genuíno (PCO) register under 3%. The first-round vote on October 4 serves as the key resolution trigger, with a potential runoff on October 25. Late developments such as court rulings on eligibility or major campaign shifts could still alter trajectories before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourArthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.4%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Arthur Henrique
94%
Soldado Sampaio
3%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Rosi Aires
1%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
Arthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.4%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Arthur Henrique
$4,794 Vol.
94%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 Vol.
3%
Farah Mesquita
$153 Vol.
2%
Rosi Aires
$227 Vol.
1%
Clébio Genuíno
$318 Vol.
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling at 60% or higher in recent surveys from Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data, alongside his decisive 60.87% showing in the June 2026 special election. As former Boa Vista mayor with strong PL backing and name recognition, he benefits from voter preference for continuity amid the state's prior judicial disputes over gubernatorial eligibility. Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), the current interim governor, trails at 27-32%, while minor candidates including Rosi Aires (PSOL), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), and Clébio Genuíno (PCO) register under 3%. The first-round vote on October 4 serves as the key resolution trigger, with a potential runoff on October 25. Late developments such as court rulings on eligibility or major campaign shifts could still alter trajectories before election day.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$5,676Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling at 60% or higher in recent surveys from Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data, alongside his decisive 60.87% showing in the June 2026 special election. As former Boa Vista mayor with strong PL backing and name recognition, he benefits from voter preference for continuity amid the state's prior judicial disputes over gubernatorial eligibility. Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), the current interim governor, trails at 27-32%, while minor candidates including Rosi Aires (PSOL), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), and Clébio Genuíno (PCO) register under 3%. The first-round vote on October 4 serves as the key resolution trigger, with a potential runoff on October 25. Late developments such as court rulings on eligibility or major campaign shifts could still alter trajectories before election day.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,676Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling at 60% or higher in recent surveys from Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data, alongside his decisive 60.87% showing in the June 2026 special election. As former Boa Vista mayor with strong PL backing and name recognition, he benefits from voter preference for continuity amid the state's prior judicial disputes over gubernatorial eligibility. Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), the current interim governor, trails at 27-32%, while minor candidates including Rosi Aires (PSOL), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), and Clébio Genuíno (PCO) register under 3%. The first-round vote on October 4 serves as the key resolution trigger, with a potential runoff on October 25. Late developments such as court rulings on eligibility or major campaign shifts could still alter trajectories before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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