Recent August University of Michigan data showed the Consumer Sentiment Index falling to a final 51.7 from July’s 55.2, with year-ahead inflation expectations easing only modestly to 4.0% amid persistent cost-of-living pressures and geopolitical uncertainty tied to the Iran conflict. The September 11 preliminary release faces similar headwinds, including New York Fed survey results from early September highlighting rising consumer worries over personal finances, job prospects, and a higher expected unemployment rate one year ahead. With the index hovering near multi-decade lows and sensitive to gas prices plus broader inflation readings, market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 49–52 band, reflecting uncertainty over whether stabilization in energy costs or renewed labor-market concerns will dominate the latest reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated52.0 to 54.9 44%
55.0 to 57.9 43%
43.0 to 45.9 43%
49.0 to 51.9 42%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<43.0
7%
43.0 to 45.9
43%
46.0 to 48.9
37%
49.0 to 51.9
42%
52.0 to 54.9
44%
55.0 to 57.9
43%
58.0+
26%
52.0 to 54.9 44%
55.0 to 57.9 43%
43.0 to 45.9 43%
49.0 to 51.9 42%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<43.0
$118 Vol.
7%
43.0 to 45.9
$0 Vol.
43%
46.0 to 48.9
$0 Vol.
37%
49.0 to 51.9
$0 Vol.
42%
52.0 to 54.9
$0 Vol.
44%
55.0 to 57.9
$0 Vol.
43%
58.0+
$0 Vol.
26%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August University of Michigan data showed the Consumer Sentiment Index falling to a final 51.7 from July’s 55.2, with year-ahead inflation expectations easing only modestly to 4.0% amid persistent cost-of-living pressures and geopolitical uncertainty tied to the Iran conflict. The September 11 preliminary release faces similar headwinds, including New York Fed survey results from early September highlighting rising consumer worries over personal finances, job prospects, and a higher expected unemployment rate one year ahead. With the index hovering near multi-decade lows and sensitive to gas prices plus broader inflation readings, market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 49–52 band, reflecting uncertainty over whether stabilization in energy costs or renewed labor-market concerns will dominate the latest reading.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Volume
$118End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August University of Michigan data showed the Consumer Sentiment Index falling to a final 51.7 from July’s 55.2, with year-ahead inflation expectations easing only modestly to 4.0% amid persistent cost-of-living pressures and geopolitical uncertainty tied to the Iran conflict. The September 11 preliminary release faces similar headwinds, including New York Fed survey results from early September highlighting rising consumer worries over personal finances, job prospects, and a higher expected unemployment rate one year ahead. With the index hovering near multi-decade lows and sensitive to gas prices plus broader inflation readings, market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 49–52 band, reflecting uncertainty over whether stabilization in energy costs or renewed labor-market concerns will dominate the latest reading.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$118End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August University of Michigan data showed the Consumer Sentiment Index falling to a final 51.7 from July’s 55.2, with year-ahead inflation expectations easing only modestly to 4.0% amid persistent cost-of-living pressures and geopolitical uncertainty tied to the Iran conflict. The September 11 preliminary release faces similar headwinds, including New York Fed survey results from early September highlighting rising consumer worries over personal finances, job prospects, and a higher expected unemployment rate one year ahead. With the index hovering near multi-decade lows and sensitive to gas prices plus broader inflation readings, market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 49–52 band, reflecting uncertainty over whether stabilization in energy costs or renewed labor-market concerns will dominate the latest reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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