**Rebounding energy costs and base effects from last year's price spikes are positioning the 5.1%+ outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 79.5% for the August 2026 PPI YoY reading.** July's final demand PPI cooled to 4.7% year-over-year from 5.5% in June, missing the 4.9% consensus amid sharp energy declines, which eased near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC. However, oil prices near $87 per barrel and persistent services pressures have shifted trader consensus toward a reversal, with lower-probability bins clustered below 5.0%. The BLS release, due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, represents the final data point before the policy decision and will clarify whether upstream relief persists into final demand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5.1%+ 80%
4.9% 8.5%
5.0% 5.3%
4.6% 4.5%
$20,338 Vol.
$20,338 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
8%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
80%
5.1%+ 80%
4.9% 8.5%
5.0% 5.3%
4.6% 4.5%
$20,338 Vol.
$20,338 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤4.2%
$683 Vol.
1%
4.3%
$451 Vol.
1%
4.4%
$372 Vol.
1%
4.5%
$392 Vol.
2%
4.6%
$331 Vol.
5%
4.7%
$678 Vol.
4%
4.8%
$548 Vol.
4%
4.9%
$782 Vol.
8%
5.0%
$2,835 Vol.
5%
5.1%+
$13,265 Vol.
80%
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Rebounding energy costs and base effects from last year's price spikes are positioning the 5.1%+ outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 79.5% for the August 2026 PPI YoY reading.** July's final demand PPI cooled to 4.7% year-over-year from 5.5% in June, missing the 4.9% consensus amid sharp energy declines, which eased near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC. However, oil prices near $87 per barrel and persistent services pressures have shifted trader consensus toward a reversal, with lower-probability bins clustered below 5.0%. The BLS release, due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, represents the final data point before the policy decision and will clarify whether upstream relief persists into final demand.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$20,338End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Rebounding energy costs and base effects from last year's price spikes are positioning the 5.1%+ outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 79.5% for the August 2026 PPI YoY reading.** July's final demand PPI cooled to 4.7% year-over-year from 5.5% in June, missing the 4.9% consensus amid sharp energy declines, which eased near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC. However, oil prices near $87 per barrel and persistent services pressures have shifted trader consensus toward a reversal, with lower-probability bins clustered below 5.0%. The BLS release, due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, represents the final data point before the policy decision and will clarify whether upstream relief persists into final demand.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$20,338End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Rebounding energy costs and base effects from last year's price spikes are positioning the 5.1%+ outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 79.5% for the August 2026 PPI YoY reading.** July's final demand PPI cooled to 4.7% year-over-year from 5.5% in June, missing the 4.9% consensus amid sharp energy declines, which eased near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC. However, oil prices near $87 per barrel and persistent services pressures have shifted trader consensus toward a reversal, with lower-probability bins clustered below 5.0%. The BLS release, due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, represents the final data point before the policy decision and will clarify whether upstream relief persists into final demand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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