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icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 56%

Benoit Clermont 23%

Anthony Lavoie 22%

Polymarket
NEW

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 56%

Benoit Clermont 23%

Anthony Lavoie 22%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

$605 Vol.

56%

icon for Benoit Clermont

Benoit Clermont

$328 Vol.

23%

icon for Anthony Lavoie

Anthony Lavoie

$880 Vol.

22%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Guillaume Cliche-Rivard of Québec solidaire holds the edge in trader pricing for the Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne seat in the October 5, 2026, Quebec election, reflecting his 2023 by-election win that ended decades of Liberal control in the Montreal riding. Projections from early September place QS and PLQ support in a narrow band around 33-36 percent, with CAQ trailing, consistent with the riding’s urban, progressive electorate and local priorities around housing and immigration. The short campaign since the August 27 writ has featured stable provincial polling with the PQ leading overall, yet limited movement in this specific contest due to Cliche-Rivard’s incumbency visibility, party ground organization, and the PLQ’s traditional base among anglophone and moderate voters. Nominations close September 17, after which candidate debates, shifts in province-wide party standings, and turnout patterns among key demographics could widen the gap ahead of election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,813
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Guillaume Cliche-Rivard of Québec solidaire holds the edge in trader pricing for the Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne seat in the October 5, 2026, Quebec election, reflecting his 2023 by-election win that ended decades of Liberal control in the Montreal riding. Projections from early September place QS and PLQ support in a narrow band around 33-36 percent, with CAQ trailing, consistent with the riding’s urban, progressive electorate and local priorities around housing and immigration. The short campaign since the August 27 writ has featured stable provincial polling with the PQ leading overall, yet limited movement in this specific contest due to Cliche-Rivard’s incumbency visibility, party ground organization, and the PLQ’s traditional base among anglophone and moderate voters. Nominations close September 17, after which candidate debates, shifts in province-wide party standings, and turnout patterns among key demographics could widen the gap ahead of election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,813
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Guillaume Cliche-Rivard" at 56%, followed by "Benoit Clermont" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Guillaume Cliche-Rivard" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Benoit Clermont" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.