Marília Campos maintains a leading position in trader assessments for first place in the Minas Gerais Senate contest, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling aggregates where she registers the highest support for one of the two available seats. Aécio Neves’s late-August confirmation of candidacy has consolidated backing among opposition voters and narrowed gaps for the second vacancy, yet leaves the front-runner ahead amid elevated undecided shares near 30%. The September 14 candidate substitution deadline, ongoing alliance negotiations, and voter focus on the first versus second ballot preferences represent near-term factors that could widen or compress separation ahead of the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília Campos 55%
Aécio Neves 35.5%
Domingos Sávio 5.6%
Carlos Viana 1.8%
$45,057 Vol.
$45,057 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Campos
55%
Aécio Neves
36%
Domingos Sávio
6%
Carlos Viana
2%
Marco Antônio Superman
7%
Marcelo Aro
1%
Marcelo Heringer
<1%
Tião Pessoa
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
<1%
Áurea Carolina
<1%
Carlin Moura
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
<1%
Marília Campos 55%
Aécio Neves 35.5%
Domingos Sávio 5.6%
Carlos Viana 1.8%
$45,057 Vol.
$45,057 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Campos
$16,359 Vol.
55%
Aécio Neves
$4,424 Vol.
36%
Domingos Sávio
$2,246 Vol.
6%
Carlos Viana
$8,991 Vol.
2%
Marco Antônio Superman
$1,225 Vol.
7%
Marcelo Aro
$3,119 Vol.
1%
Marcelo Heringer
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
Tião Pessoa
$623 Vol.
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
$682 Vol.
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
$627 Vol.
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
$546 Vol.
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
$536 Vol.
<1%
Áurea Carolina
$1,333 Vol.
<1%
Carlin Moura
$552 Vol.
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
$648 Vol.
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
$601 Vol.
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
$643 Vol.
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
$702 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Campos maintains a leading position in trader assessments for first place in the Minas Gerais Senate contest, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling aggregates where she registers the highest support for one of the two available seats. Aécio Neves’s late-August confirmation of candidacy has consolidated backing among opposition voters and narrowed gaps for the second vacancy, yet leaves the front-runner ahead amid elevated undecided shares near 30%. The September 14 candidate substitution deadline, ongoing alliance negotiations, and voter focus on the first versus second ballot preferences represent near-term factors that could widen or compress separation ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$45,057End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Campos maintains a leading position in trader assessments for first place in the Minas Gerais Senate contest, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling aggregates where she registers the highest support for one of the two available seats. Aécio Neves’s late-August confirmation of candidacy has consolidated backing among opposition voters and narrowed gaps for the second vacancy, yet leaves the front-runner ahead amid elevated undecided shares near 30%. The September 14 candidate substitution deadline, ongoing alliance negotiations, and voter focus on the first versus second ballot preferences represent near-term factors that could widen or compress separation ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,057End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Campos maintains a leading position in trader assessments for first place in the Minas Gerais Senate contest, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling aggregates where she registers the highest support for one of the two available seats. Aécio Neves’s late-August confirmation of candidacy has consolidated backing among opposition voters and narrowed gaps for the second vacancy, yet leaves the front-runner ahead amid elevated undecided shares near 30%. The September 14 candidate substitution deadline, ongoing alliance negotiations, and voter focus on the first versus second ballot preferences represent near-term factors that could widen or compress separation ahead of the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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