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icon for Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
Politics·Andrew Tate

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

icon for Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
Politics·Andrew Tate

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

$299,120 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$299,120 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$107,122 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew and Tristan Tate have remained in US federal custody in Miami since their July 18, 2026 arrest on a UK extradition request involving dozens of rape, assault, and sex-trafficking charges. On September 9, a federal magistrate judge denied bail, citing flight risk from their international ties, travel history, and resources, even while acknowledging their public profile. The UK has until September 16 to file its full extradition package, after which proceedings could extend for months without a hearing date set. Parallel Romanian indictments on trafficking and related counts add procedural complexity, with defense arguments highlighting restricted access to counsel across jurisdictions. These factors shape trader views on release timelines amid the multi-country legal process.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$299,120
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 10:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew and Tristan Tate have remained in US federal custody in Miami since their July 18, 2026 arrest on a UK extradition request involving dozens of rape, assault, and sex-trafficking charges. On September 9, a federal magistrate judge denied bail, citing flight risk from their international ties, travel history, and resources, even while acknowledging their public profile. The UK has until September 16 to file its full extradition package, after which proceedings could extend for months without a hearing date set. Parallel Romanian indictments on trafficking and related counts add procedural complexity, with defense arguments highlighting restricted access to counsel across jurisdictions. These factors shape trader views on release timelines amid the multi-country legal process.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$299,120
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 10:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Andrew Tate released from custody by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 8%, followed by "July 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Andrew Tate released from custody by...?" has generated $299.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Andrew Tate released from custody by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Andrew Tate released from custody by...?" is "December 31" at just 8%, with "July 31" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Andrew Tate released from custody by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.