The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación
Elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación
2.8M-2.95M 36%
2.65M-2.8M 30%
2.5M-2.65M 17%
2,2M-2,35M 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<2.2M
10%
2,2M-2,35M
11%
2.35M-2.5M
10%
2.5M-2.65M
17%
2.65M-2.8M
30%
2.8M-2.95M
36%
2,95M-3,1M
10%
3,1M+
11%
2.8M-2.95M 36%
2.65M-2.8M 30%
2.5M-2.65M 17%
2,2M-2,35M 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<2.2M
$71 Vol.
10%
2,2M-2,35M
$71 Vol.
11%
2.35M-2.5M
$71 Vol.
10%
2.5M-2.65M
$90 Vol.
17%
2.65M-2.8M
$669 Vol.
30%
2.8M-2.95M
$694 Vol.
36%
2,95M-3,1M
$63 Vol.
10%
3,1M+
$79 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Volumen
$1,807Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,807Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket bins around 2.5M–2.95M votes reflect trader assessments of a low-competition general election in a solidly Democratic state, where incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton. A decisive September 1 Democratic primary victory for Markey over Seth Moulton generated limited enthusiasm, consistent with Secretary of State William Galvin’s expectations of standard rather than elevated participation. Typical midterm turnout drop-off, combined with monitoring of early voting volumes and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor probabilities near historical patterns for similar off-year Senate contests without introducing major catalysts that would widen separation among the leading ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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