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icon for Senatswahl in Tennessee: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Tennessee: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Senatswahl in Tennessee: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Tennessee: Wahlbeteiligung

1.6M-1.8M 33.3%

2M-2.2M 33%

1.8M-2M 29.1%

2.2M-2.4M 6%

Polymarket
NEU

1.6M-1.8M 33.3%

2M-2.2M 33%

1.8M-2M 29.1%

2.2M-2.4M 6%

Polymarket
NEU

<1.6M

$1,087 Vol.

1%

1.6M-1.8M

$1,084 Vol.

33%

1.8M-2M

$1,195 Vol.

29%

2M-2.2M

$1,557 Vol.

33%

2.2M-2.4M

$604 Vol.

6%

2.4M-2.6M

$675 Vol.

1%

2.6M+

$1,327 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee’s open gubernatorial contest, created by term-limited Republican Bill Lee, represents the main upward pressure on participation for the November 3 general election, historically adding points to midterm turnout in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally. Traders have clustered probabilities tightly around the 1.6 million to 2.2 million vote ranges because the solidly Republican Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw offers limited statewide mobilization, even as down-ballot races add some incentive. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic enthusiasm in areas such as Shelby County linked to redistricting, yet these signals have not shifted expectations into higher bins. Upcoming early voting from October 14–29 and the October 5 registration deadline will provide further data points on whether participation separates from the current narrow trading range.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,528
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee’s open gubernatorial contest, created by term-limited Republican Bill Lee, represents the main upward pressure on participation for the November 3 general election, historically adding points to midterm turnout in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally. Traders have clustered probabilities tightly around the 1.6 million to 2.2 million vote ranges because the solidly Republican Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw offers limited statewide mobilization, even as down-ballot races add some incentive. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic enthusiasm in areas such as Shelby County linked to redistricting, yet these signals have not shifted expectations into higher bins. Upcoming early voting from October 14–29 and the October 5 registration deadline will provide further data points on whether participation separates from the current narrow trading range.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,528
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Werden die Gesamtstimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus North Carolina zwischen 4.100.000 und 4.300.000 liegen?

40%
Ja
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Werden bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Arkansas insgesamt zwischen 825.000 und 900.000 Stimmen abgegeben?

50%
Ja
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Werden bei der Halbzeitwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Texas insgesamt weniger als 8.000.000 Stimmen abgegeben?

47%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Tennessee: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1.6M-1.8M" mit 33%, gefolgt von „2M-2.2M" mit 33%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 33¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 33% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl in Tennessee: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Tennessee: Wahlbeteiligung" ist „1.6M-1.8M" mit 33%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 33% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „2M-2.2M" mit 33%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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