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icon for Gouverneurswahl in Nevada: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Midterms

Gouverneurswahl in Nevada: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Gouverneurswahl in Nevada: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Midterms

Gouverneurswahl in Nevada: Wahlbeteiligung

1,05 Mio.–1,125 Mio. 47%

900.000-975.000 27%

1,125 Mio.–1,2 Mio. 22%

975T-1,05M 9%

Polymarket
NEU

1,05 Mio.–1,125 Mio. 47%

900.000-975.000 27%

1,125 Mio.–1,2 Mio. 22%

975T-1,05M 9%

Polymarket
NEU

<900K

$2,198 Vol.

2%

900.000-975.000

$1,090 Vol.

27%

975T-1,05M

$689 Vol.

9%

1,05 Mio.–1,125 Mio.

$1,376 Vol.

47%

1,125 Mio.–1,2 Mio.

$1,411 Vol.

22%

1,2 Mio.–1,275 Mio.

$579 Vol.

<1%

1,275 Mio.–1,35 Mio.

$410 Vol.

<1%

1,35 Mio+

$497 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 1.05M–1.125M total votes cast in Nevada’s November 3, 2026 gubernatorial election.** This range reflects expectations for a competitive off-year race between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, where recent polling averages show Lombardo ahead by roughly four points. Voter rolls stand near 2.06 million active registrations after extensive maintenance that inactivated or canceled hundreds of thousands of entries, shrinking the Democratic edge to just hundreds of voters while nonpartisans remain the largest bloc. The June 2026 primary produced modest turnout near 20 percent, aided slightly by competitive northern congressional contests but limited by the absence of a U.S. Senate race. Mail ballots continue to dominate, early voting begins October 17, and a voter ID constitutional amendment appears on the ballot. These structural elements, combined with typical midterm participation patterns, position the leading bin as the market’s implied probability anchor.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,248
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 1.05M–1.125M total votes cast in Nevada’s November 3, 2026 gubernatorial election.** This range reflects expectations for a competitive off-year race between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, where recent polling averages show Lombardo ahead by roughly four points. Voter rolls stand near 2.06 million active registrations after extensive maintenance that inactivated or canceled hundreds of thousands of entries, shrinking the Democratic edge to just hundreds of voters while nonpartisans remain the largest bloc. The June 2026 primary produced modest turnout near 20 percent, aided slightly by competitive northern congressional contests but limited by the absence of a U.S. Senate race. Mail ballots continue to dominate, early voting begins October 17, and a voter ID constitutional amendment appears on the ballot. These structural elements, combined with typical midterm participation patterns, position the leading bin as the market’s implied probability anchor.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,248
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Werden die Gesamtstimmen bei der Gouverneurswahl in Kalifornien 2026 zwischen 10.500.000 und 11.000.000 liegen?

Werden die Gesamtstimmen bei der Gouverneurswahl in Kalifornien 2026 zwischen 10.500.000 und 11.000.000 liegen?

26%
Ja
icon for Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Gouverneurswahl in Arizona im Jahr 2026 zwischen 2.600.000 und 2.750.000 liegen?

Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Gouverneurswahl in Arizona im Jahr 2026 zwischen 2.600.000 und 2.750.000 liegen?

40%
Ja
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Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Gouverneurswahl in Connecticut 2026 zwischen 1.300.000 und 1.400.000 liegen?

44%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gouverneurswahl in Nevada: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1,05 Mio.–1,125 Mio." mit 47%, gefolgt von „900.000-975.000" mit 27%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 47¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 47% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Gouverneurswahl in Nevada: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Gouverneurswahl in Nevada: Wahlbeteiligung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gouverneurswahl in Nevada: Wahlbeteiligung" ist „1,05 Mio.–1,125 Mio." mit 47%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 47% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „900.000-975.000" mit 27%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gouverneurswahl in Nevada: Wahlbeteiligung" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.