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icon for Senatswahl in Michigan: Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Michigan: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Senatswahl in Michigan: Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Michigan: Wahlbeteiligung

4,6 Mio.–4,8 Mio. 40.8%

4,8M-5M 35%

4,4M–4,6M 13%

5M-5,2M 5.5%

Polymarket
NEU

4,6 Mio.–4,8 Mio. 40.8%

4,8M-5M 35%

4,4M–4,6M 13%

5M-5,2M 5.5%

Polymarket
NEU

<4,2 Mio.

$278 Vol.

3%

4,2 Mio. - 4,4 Mio.

$249 Vol.

1%

4,4M–4,6M

$2,037 Vol.

13%

4,6 Mio.–4,8 Mio.

$1,002 Vol.

41%

4,8M-5M

$1,854 Vol.

35%

5M-5,2M

$251 Vol.

6%

5,2M-5,4M

$2,410 Vol.

2%

5,4 Mio.–5,6 Mio.

$1,307 Vol.

1%

5,6 Mio.+

$463 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive Michigan U.S. Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, rated a toss-up in recent polling, anchors trader focus on turnout near 4.6M-5M ballots. A narrow contest following Gary Peters’ retirement and a record Democratic primary with over 1.5 million participants has energized both parties’ bases and independents, with get-out-the-vote operations and economic concerns such as manufacturing tariffs adding momentum. Michigan’s history of solid midterm participation, expanded early in-person voting starting October 24, and absentee options support moderate-to-high engagement without evident drivers for unusually low or record-high totals. These dynamics align with historical midterm patterns in the state while reflecting the race’s potential to mobilize swing voters and low-propensity groups.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,849
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive Michigan U.S. Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, rated a toss-up in recent polling, anchors trader focus on turnout near 4.6M-5M ballots. A narrow contest following Gary Peters’ retirement and a record Democratic primary with over 1.5 million participants has energized both parties’ bases and independents, with get-out-the-vote operations and economic concerns such as manufacturing tariffs adding momentum. Michigan’s history of solid midterm participation, expanded early in-person voting starting October 24, and absentee options support moderate-to-high engagement without evident drivers for unusually low or record-high totals. These dynamics align with historical midterm patterns in the state while reflecting the race’s potential to mobilize swing voters and low-propensity groups.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,849
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Michigan: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „4,6 Mio.–4,8 Mio." mit 41%, gefolgt von „4,8M-5M" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 41¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl in Michigan: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl in Michigan: Wahlbeteiligung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Michigan: Wahlbeteiligung" ist „4,6 Mio.–4,8 Mio." mit 41%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „4,8M-5M" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl in Michigan: Wahlbeteiligung" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.