The competitive Michigan U.S. Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, rated a toss-up in recent polling, anchors trader focus on turnout near 4.6M-5M ballots. A narrow contest following Gary Peters’ retirement and a record Democratic primary with over 1.5 million participants has energized both parties’ bases and independents, with get-out-the-vote operations and economic concerns such as manufacturing tariffs adding momentum. Michigan’s history of solid midterm participation, expanded early in-person voting starting October 24, and absentee options support moderate-to-high engagement without evident drivers for unusually low or record-high totals. These dynamics align with historical midterm patterns in the state while reflecting the race’s potential to mobilize swing voters and low-propensity groups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in Michigan: Wahlbeteiligung
4,6 Mio.–4,8 Mio. 40.8%
4,8M-5M 35%
4,4M–4,6M 13%
5M-5,2M 5.5%
<4,2 Mio.
3%
4,2 Mio. - 4,4 Mio.
1%
4,4M–4,6M
13%
4,6 Mio.–4,8 Mio.
41%
4,8M-5M
35%
5M-5,2M
6%
5,2M-5,4M
2%
5,4 Mio.–5,6 Mio.
1%
5,6 Mio.+
5%
4,6 Mio.–4,8 Mio. 40.8%
4,8M-5M 35%
4,4M–4,6M 13%
5M-5,2M 5.5%
<4,2 Mio.
3%
4,2 Mio. - 4,4 Mio.
1%
4,4M–4,6M
13%
4,6 Mio.–4,8 Mio.
41%
4,8M-5M
35%
5M-5,2M
6%
5,2M-5,4M
2%
5,4 Mio.–5,6 Mio.
1%
5,6 Mio.+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The competitive Michigan U.S. Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, rated a toss-up in recent polling, anchors trader focus on turnout near 4.6M-5M ballots. A narrow contest following Gary Peters’ retirement and a record Democratic primary with over 1.5 million participants has energized both parties’ bases and independents, with get-out-the-vote operations and economic concerns such as manufacturing tariffs adding momentum. Michigan’s history of solid midterm participation, expanded early in-person voting starting October 24, and absentee options support moderate-to-high engagement without evident drivers for unusually low or record-high totals. These dynamics align with historical midterm patterns in the state while reflecting the race’s potential to mobilize swing voters and low-propensity groups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen