Oregon's all-mail voting system and roughly 3 million registered voters underpin trader focus on total ballots cast in the November 3 general election for the U.S. Senate seat held by incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley. The tight spread across the 1.5M–1.8M range mirrors historical midterm participation rates near 62 percent of eligible voters, tempered by the race's solid Democratic outlook and limited national salience. Record May primary turnout above 1.28 million ballots signals sustained engagement potential, yet lower enthusiasm in non-competitive contests and variable mail-return rates keep probabilities balanced. Shifts could arise from late campaign mobilization, broader midterm dynamics, or registration changes ahead of certification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in Oregon: Wahlbeteiligung
Senatswahl in Oregon: Wahlbeteiligung
1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio. 17.6%
2 Mio.–2,1 Mio. 18%
1,7 Mio.–1,8 Mio. 14%
2,1 Mio.–2,2 Mio. 14%
<1,5 Mio.
25%
1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio.
18%
1,6M-1,7M
6%
1,7 Mio.–1,8 Mio.
19%
1,8 Mio.–1,9 Mio.
7%
1,9M-2M
9%
2 Mio.–2,1 Mio.
18%
2,1 Mio.–2,2 Mio.
14%
2,2M+
13%
1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio. 17.6%
2 Mio.–2,1 Mio. 18%
1,7 Mio.–1,8 Mio. 14%
2,1 Mio.–2,2 Mio. 14%
<1,5 Mio.
25%
1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio.
18%
1,6M-1,7M
6%
1,7 Mio.–1,8 Mio.
19%
1,8 Mio.–1,9 Mio.
7%
1,9M-2M
9%
2 Mio.–2,1 Mio.
18%
2,1 Mio.–2,2 Mio.
14%
2,2M+
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Oregon's all-mail voting system and roughly 3 million registered voters underpin trader focus on total ballots cast in the November 3 general election for the U.S. Senate seat held by incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley. The tight spread across the 1.5M–1.8M range mirrors historical midterm participation rates near 62 percent of eligible voters, tempered by the race's solid Democratic outlook and limited national salience. Record May primary turnout above 1.28 million ballots signals sustained engagement potential, yet lower enthusiasm in non-competitive contests and variable mail-return rates keep probabilities balanced. Shifts could arise from late campaign mobilization, broader midterm dynamics, or registration changes ahead of certification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?
Werden die Gesamtstimmen, die bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Ohio abgegeben werden, zwischen 4.500.000 und 4.650.000 liegen?
Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Oklahoma zwischen 1.100.000 und 1.200.000 liegen?
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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