The open-seat Wyoming Senate contest’s rating as a safe Republican race after Harriet Hageman’s decisive August primary win and James Byrd’s Democratic nomination has anchored trader expectations for total ballots near historical midterm levels. With roughly 272,000 registered voters and past off-year general elections producing 198,000 votes in 2022 and similar figures in earlier cycles, the 190K-210K range leads at 44 percent because the low-competition environment offers few catalysts for elevated Republican mobilization or Democratic participation. Variables that could shift probabilities include rural turnout patterns, Election Day weather, and any late national developments that alter early or absentee voting ahead of November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in Wyoming: Wahlbeteiligung
190T-210T 55%
210T–230T 27%
250.000+ 8%
230.000-250.000 7.3%
<150T
<1%
150T-170T
4%
170T-190T
7%
190T-210T
55%
210T–230T
27%
230.000-250.000
7%
250.000+
8%
190T-210T 55%
210T–230T 27%
250.000+ 8%
230.000-250.000 7.3%
<150T
<1%
150T-170T
4%
170T-190T
7%
190T-210T
55%
210T–230T
27%
230.000-250.000
7%
250.000+
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47de9d...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47de9d...The open-seat Wyoming Senate contest’s rating as a safe Republican race after Harriet Hageman’s decisive August primary win and James Byrd’s Democratic nomination has anchored trader expectations for total ballots near historical midterm levels. With roughly 272,000 registered voters and past off-year general elections producing 198,000 votes in 2022 and similar figures in earlier cycles, the 190K-210K range leads at 44 percent because the low-competition environment offers few catalysts for elevated Republican mobilization or Democratic participation. Variables that could shift probabilities include rural turnout patterns, Election Day weather, and any late national developments that alter early or absentee voting ahead of November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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