In Kentucky's open 2026 U.S. Senate race, Republican nominee Andy Barr holds a consistent lead over Democrat Charles Booker in available polling of likely voters, consistent with the state's strong Republican tilt and historical midterm patterns. Traders have concentrated probability on the 1.3M-1.4M turnout band as the leading outcome, reflecting expectations for moderate participation in a low-competition contest following the May primaries where Barr consolidated support after receiving President Trump's endorsement. Recent campaign polling and the absence of major late developments have reinforced this positioning, with factors such as get-out-the-vote efforts in urban areas like Louisville and Lexington, weather on November 3, and broader national midterm dynamics potentially shifting totals within the narrower ranges. Historical midterm turnout benchmarks in the state provide the primary reference point for current pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in Kentucky: Wahlbeteiligung
Senatswahl in Kentucky: Wahlbeteiligung
1,3 Mio.–1,4 Mio. 33%
1,7 Mio.-1,8 Mio. 19%
1,4M-1,5M 14%
1,6 Mio.–1,7 Mio. 13%
<1,2 Mio.
1%
1,2 Mio.–1,3 Mio.
7%
1,3 Mio.–1,4 Mio.
33%
1,4M-1,5M
14%
1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio.
9%
1,6 Mio.–1,7 Mio.
13%
1,7 Mio.-1,8 Mio.
19%
1,8 Mio.+
<1%
1,3 Mio.–1,4 Mio. 33%
1,7 Mio.-1,8 Mio. 19%
1,4M-1,5M 14%
1,6 Mio.–1,7 Mio. 13%
<1,2 Mio.
1%
1,2 Mio.–1,3 Mio.
7%
1,3 Mio.–1,4 Mio.
33%
1,4M-1,5M
14%
1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio.
9%
1,6 Mio.–1,7 Mio.
13%
1,7 Mio.-1,8 Mio.
19%
1,8 Mio.+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...In Kentucky's open 2026 U.S. Senate race, Republican nominee Andy Barr holds a consistent lead over Democrat Charles Booker in available polling of likely voters, consistent with the state's strong Republican tilt and historical midterm patterns. Traders have concentrated probability on the 1.3M-1.4M turnout band as the leading outcome, reflecting expectations for moderate participation in a low-competition contest following the May primaries where Barr consolidated support after receiving President Trump's endorsement. Recent campaign polling and the absence of major late developments have reinforced this positioning, with factors such as get-out-the-vote efforts in urban areas like Louisville and Lexington, weather on November 3, and broader national midterm dynamics potentially shifting totals within the narrower ranges. Historical midterm turnout benchmarks in the state provide the primary reference point for current pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird die Gesamtzahl der abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Kansas zwischen 1.000.000 und 1.100.000 liegen?
Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Oklahoma zwischen 1.100.000 und 1.200.000 liegen?
Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus West Virginia zwischen 450.000 und 500.000 liegen?
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen