Skip to main content

Um in den USA zu traden, geh zu polymarket.us

icon for Senatswahl in Montana: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Montana: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Senatswahl in Montana: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Montana: Wahlbeteiligung

500K-550K 36%

450T-500T 15.0%

<350T 15%

400T - 450T 11%

Polymarket
NEU

500K-550K 36%

450T-500T 15.0%

<350T 15%

400T - 450T 11%

Polymarket
NEU

<350T

$91 Vol.

9%

350T-400T

$183 Vol.

8%

400T - 450T

$143 Vol.

11%

450T-500T

$220 Vol.

15%

500K-550K

$755 Vol.

36%

550.000-600.000

$1,092 Vol.

2%

600T+

$225 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus in the Montana Senate election turnout market centers on the 500K-550K range (36%) as the leading outcome, followed by adjacent brackets around 400K-550K.** This reflects expectations for moderate midterm participation consistent with Montana’s recent history, where general election turnout of registered voters has ranged from about 55-65% in off-year cycles like 2022 (468K votes). With roughly 791,000 registered voters, the favored ranges imply roughly 50-70% turnout. The open-seat race features Republican Kurt Alme holding a double-digit lead in polling amid a divided non-Republican field (independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead), producing a low-competition dynamic that typically dampens mobilization compared with closer contests. The June primary saw 38% turnout, providing a baseline, while the November 3 general election lacks major late catalysts that could drive unusually high or suppressed participation. Historical patterns in similar solid-Republican midterms support this positioning as the current trader assessment of likely ballot volume.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,709
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus in the Montana Senate election turnout market centers on the 500K-550K range (36%) as the leading outcome, followed by adjacent brackets around 400K-550K.** This reflects expectations for moderate midterm participation consistent with Montana’s recent history, where general election turnout of registered voters has ranged from about 55-65% in off-year cycles like 2022 (468K votes). With roughly 791,000 registered voters, the favored ranges imply roughly 50-70% turnout. The open-seat race features Republican Kurt Alme holding a double-digit lead in polling amid a divided non-Republican field (independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead), producing a low-competition dynamic that typically dampens mobilization compared with closer contests. The June primary saw 38% turnout, providing a baseline, while the November 3 general election lacks major late catalysts that could drive unusually high or suppressed participation. Historical patterns in similar solid-Republican midterms support this positioning as the current trader assessment of likely ballot volume.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,709
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Massachusetts zwischen 2.800.000 und 2.950.000 liegen?

Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Massachusetts zwischen 2.800.000 und 2.950.000 liegen?

37%
Ja
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?

41%
icon for Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Wyoming zwischen 190.000 und 210.000 liegen?

Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Wyoming zwischen 190.000 und 210.000 liegen?

55%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Montana: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „500K-550K" mit 36%, gefolgt von „450T-500T" mit 15%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 36¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl in Montana: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl in Montana: Wahlbeteiligung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Montana: Wahlbeteiligung" ist „500K-550K" mit 36%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „450T-500T" mit 15%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl in Montana: Wahlbeteiligung" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.