Rhode Island’s U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jack Reed and Republican Raymond McKay remains a low-competition race, producing trader uncertainty over November 3 general-election turnout. With roughly 758,000 registered voters, historical midterm participation has ranged from 43–47 percent, placing the leading 350,000–450,000 vote bins near expected levels. Record early in-person ballots cast ahead of the September 9 primaries signal elevated engagement that could lift general-election participation, yet the seat’s safe Democratic status and limited national visibility may dampen mobilization. Concurrent statewide races and any shifts in voter enthusiasm or Election Day conditions could separate the closely matched 350K–400K and 400K–450K ranges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in Rhode Island: Wahlbeteiligung
400T-450T 35%
350T-400T 31.0%
300T-350T 13%
450.000+ 3.6%
<250T
2%
250.000-300.000
2%
300T-350T
13%
350T-400T
38%
400T-450T
35%
450.000+
4%
400T-450T 35%
350T-400T 31.0%
300T-350T 13%
450.000+ 3.6%
<250T
2%
250.000-300.000
2%
300T-350T
13%
350T-400T
38%
400T-450T
35%
450.000+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Rhode Island’s U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jack Reed and Republican Raymond McKay remains a low-competition race, producing trader uncertainty over November 3 general-election turnout. With roughly 758,000 registered voters, historical midterm participation has ranged from 43–47 percent, placing the leading 350,000–450,000 vote bins near expected levels. Record early in-person ballots cast ahead of the September 9 primaries signal elevated engagement that could lift general-election participation, yet the seat’s safe Democratic status and limited national visibility may dampen mobilization. Concurrent statewide races and any shifts in voter enthusiasm or Election Day conditions could separate the closely matched 350K–400K and 400K–450K ranges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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