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icon for Senatswahl in Idaho: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Idaho: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Senatswahl in Idaho: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Wahlbeteiligung

Senatswahl in Idaho: Wahlbeteiligung

600K-640K 50%

640K-680K 37%

680K-720K 10%

560K-600K 4.3%

Polymarket
NEU

600K-640K 50%

640K-680K 37%

680K-720K 10%

560K-600K 4.3%

Polymarket
NEU

<480K

$555 Vol.

3%

480K-520K

$481 Vol.

4%

520K-560K

$597 Vol.

21%

560K-600K

$497 Vol.

7%

600K-640K

$2,262 Vol.

50%

640K-680K

$1,540 Vol.

37%

680K-720K

$486 Vol.

10%

720K+

$423 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus places 600K-640K total votes as the leading range for the November 3 Idaho U.S. Senate election, followed closely by 640K-680K, implying roughly 62-70 percent turnout among the state's approximately 969,000 registered voters. This positioning aligns with elevated engagement expectations in a midterm featuring incumbent Republican Jim Risch against independent Todd Achilles, after the Democratic nominee withdrew in July. The May primary produced 30 percent turnout—slightly above recent averages—while 2024 general election participation reached 64 percent, providing a benchmark. With six weeks remaining and no major new catalysts such as scandals or policy shifts, historical midterm patterns, voter registration trends, and campaign mobilization continue to shape these probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,841
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus places 600K-640K total votes as the leading range for the November 3 Idaho U.S. Senate election, followed closely by 640K-680K, implying roughly 62-70 percent turnout among the state's approximately 969,000 registered voters. This positioning aligns with elevated engagement expectations in a midterm featuring incumbent Republican Jim Risch against independent Todd Achilles, after the Democratic nominee withdrew in July. The May primary produced 30 percent turnout—slightly above recent averages—while 2024 general election participation reached 64 percent, providing a benchmark. With six weeks remaining and no major new catalysts such as scandals or policy shifts, historical midterm patterns, voter registration trends, and campaign mobilization continue to shape these probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,841
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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53%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Idaho: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „600K-640K" mit 50%, gefolgt von „640K-680K" mit 37%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 50¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl in Idaho: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl in Idaho: Wahlbeteiligung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Idaho: Wahlbeteiligung" ist „600K-640K" mit 50%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „640K-680K" mit 37%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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