The uncompetitive nature of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial contest, with Democratic incumbent Josh Green facing Republican Gary Cordery in a race rated safe Democratic, is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 400K-430K total ballots cast. Historical midterm turnout patterns, including 423K votes in 2022 at roughly 40% of registered voters, align with this range, while the August primary's sub-33% participation signals persistent voter apathy. With registered voters near 788K and no major late-cycle catalysts such as high-stakes ballot measures or scandals energizing participation, traders price limited upside beyond 430K absent unusual mobilization in the final weeks before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWahl zum Gouverneur von Hawaii: Wahlbeteiligung
Wahl zum Gouverneur von Hawaii: Wahlbeteiligung
400K-430K 58.7%
370K-400K 34%
430K-460K 7%
340K-370K 2.9%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<310K
1%
310K-340K
1%
340K-370K
3%
370K-400K
34%
400K-430K
59%
430K-460K
7%
460K-490K
<1%
490K+
1%
400K-430K 58.7%
370K-400K 34%
430K-460K 7%
340K-370K 2.9%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<310K
$1,744 Vol.
1%
310K-340K
$442 Vol.
1%
340K-370K
$508 Vol.
3%
370K-400K
$2,705 Vol.
34%
400K-430K
$1,190 Vol.
59%
430K-460K
$475 Vol.
7%
460K-490K
$402 Vol.
<1%
490K+
$484 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The uncompetitive nature of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial contest, with Democratic incumbent Josh Green facing Republican Gary Cordery in a race rated safe Democratic, is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 400K-430K total ballots cast. Historical midterm turnout patterns, including 423K votes in 2022 at roughly 40% of registered voters, align with this range, while the August primary's sub-33% participation signals persistent voter apathy. With registered voters near 788K and no major late-cycle catalysts such as high-stakes ballot measures or scandals energizing participation, traders price limited upside beyond 430K absent unusual mobilization in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Volumen
$7,951Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The uncompetitive nature of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial contest, with Democratic incumbent Josh Green facing Republican Gary Cordery in a race rated safe Democratic, is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 400K-430K total ballots cast. Historical midterm turnout patterns, including 423K votes in 2022 at roughly 40% of registered voters, align with this range, while the August primary's sub-33% participation signals persistent voter apathy. With registered voters near 788K and no major late-cycle catalysts such as high-stakes ballot measures or scandals energizing participation, traders price limited upside beyond 430K absent unusual mobilization in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,951Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The uncompetitive nature of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial contest, with Democratic incumbent Josh Green facing Republican Gary Cordery in a race rated safe Democratic, is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 400K-430K total ballots cast. Historical midterm turnout patterns, including 423K votes in 2022 at roughly 40% of registered voters, align with this range, while the August primary's sub-33% participation signals persistent voter apathy. With registered voters near 788K and no major late-cycle catalysts such as high-stakes ballot measures or scandals energizing participation, traders price limited upside beyond 430K absent unusual mobilization in the final weeks before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Werden die Gesamtstimmen bei der Gouverneurswahl in Kalifornien 2026 zwischen 10.500.000 und 11.000.000 liegen?
45%
Ja
Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Gouverneurswahl in Nevada 2026 zwischen 900.000 und 975.000 liegen?
46%
Ja
Werden bei der Gouverneurswahl in Wisconsin 2026 insgesamt zwischen 2.600.000 und 2.800.000 Stimmen abgegeben?
48%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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