Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races and presidential voting by wide margins. Her profile as the current at-large House member, combined with fundraising totals exceeding $2 million and endorsements from prominent party figures, has reinforced expectations of a comfortable general election victory over Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative who won his primary by a similar share. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Wyoming's recent electoral history and the absence of competitive polling data. A late scandal, major national realignment, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this reliably red state limit such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,773 交易量
$16,773 交易量
2026-11-02
哈丽雅特·哈格曼（共和党）
96%
詹姆斯·W·伯德（民主党）
3%
$16,773 交易量
$16,773 交易量
2026-11-02
哈丽雅特·哈格曼（共和党）
$11,119 交易量
96%
詹姆斯·W·伯德（民主党）
$5,655 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races and presidential voting by wide margins. Her profile as the current at-large House member, combined with fundraising totals exceeding $2 million and endorsements from prominent party figures, has reinforced expectations of a comfortable general election victory over Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative who won his primary by a similar share. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Wyoming's recent electoral history and the absence of competitive polling data. A late scandal, major national realignment, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this reliably red state limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$16,773结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races and presidential voting by wide margins. Her profile as the current at-large House member, combined with fundraising totals exceeding $2 million and endorsements from prominent party figures, has reinforced expectations of a comfortable general election victory over Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative who won his primary by a similar share. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Wyoming's recent electoral history and the absence of competitive polling data. A late scandal, major national realignment, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this reliably red state limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,773结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETHarriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races and presidential voting by wide margins. Her profile as the current at-large House member, combined with fundraising totals exceeding $2 million and endorsements from prominent party figures, has reinforced expectations of a comfortable general election victory over Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative who won his primary by a similar share. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Wyoming's recent electoral history and the absence of competitive polling data. A late scandal, major national realignment, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this reliably red state limit such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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