**Multiple candidates remain closely bunched in recent polling for the two Sergipe Senate seats up for election on October 4, 2026, producing a fragmented contest for second place.** Incumbent Rogério Carvalho (PT), André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT) have traded narrow leads or statistical ties in August and early September surveys, with first-choice support typically ranging from roughly 9-18% amid large shares of undecided or blank/null responses. Separate first- and second-vote scenarios in the same polls show the same group competing for the lower slot, with no candidate establishing consistent separation. Coalitions and cross-endorsements have not yet consolidated preferences, leaving trader consensus reflected in current pricing around a tight cluster of plausible second-place finishers. Late shifts in turnout or last-minute alliances could still reorder the middle of the field before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安德烈·莫拉 32%
德莱加多·安德烈·大卫 29.9%
Rogerio Carvalho 24%
爱德华多·阿莫林 14%
$29,349 交易量
$29,349 交易量
2026-10-04
安德烈·莫拉
32%
德莱加多·安德烈·大卫
30%
Rogerio Carvalho
24%
爱德华多·阿莫林
14%
罗德里戈·瓦拉达雷斯
3%
埃德瓦尔多
1%
Delegado Alessandro
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
雷娜蒂尼亚
<1%
科罗内尔·罗查
<1%
伊朗·巴博萨
<1%
安德烈·莫拉 32%
德莱加多·安德烈·大卫 29.9%
Rogerio Carvalho 24%
爱德华多·阿莫林 14%
$29,349 交易量
$29,349 交易量
2026-10-04
安德烈·莫拉
$5,266 交易量
32%
德莱加多·安德烈·大卫
$3,682 交易量
30%
Rogerio Carvalho
$7,450 交易量
24%
爱德华多·阿莫林
$3,102 交易量
14%
罗德里戈·瓦拉达雷斯
$1,732 交易量
3%
埃德瓦尔多
$1,291 交易量
1%
Delegado Alessandro
$2,095 交易量
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$1,109 交易量
<1%
雷娜蒂尼亚
$1,435 交易量
<1%
科罗内尔·罗查
$776 交易量
<1%
伊朗·巴博萨
$1,411 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Multiple candidates remain closely bunched in recent polling for the two Sergipe Senate seats up for election on October 4, 2026, producing a fragmented contest for second place.**
Incumbent Rogério Carvalho (PT), André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT) have traded narrow leads or statistical ties in August and early September surveys, with first-choice support typically ranging from roughly 9-18% amid large shares of undecided or blank/null responses. Separate first- and second-vote scenarios in the same polls show the same group competing for the lower slot, with no candidate establishing consistent separation. Coalitions and cross-endorsements have not yet consolidated preferences, leaving trader consensus reflected in current pricing around a tight cluster of plausible second-place finishers. Late shifts in turnout or last-minute alliances could still reorder the middle of the field before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
交易量
$29,349结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Multiple candidates remain closely bunched in recent polling for the two Sergipe Senate seats up for election on October 4, 2026, producing a fragmented contest for second place.**
Incumbent Rogério Carvalho (PT), André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT) have traded narrow leads or statistical ties in August and early September surveys, with first-choice support typically ranging from roughly 9-18% amid large shares of undecided or blank/null responses. Separate first- and second-vote scenarios in the same polls show the same group competing for the lower slot, with no candidate establishing consistent separation. Coalitions and cross-endorsements have not yet consolidated preferences, leaving trader consensus reflected in current pricing around a tight cluster of plausible second-place finishers. Late shifts in turnout or last-minute alliances could still reorder the middle of the field before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$29,349结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET**Multiple candidates remain closely bunched in recent polling for the two Sergipe Senate seats up for election on October 4, 2026, producing a fragmented contest for second place.** Incumbent Rogério Carvalho (PT), André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT) have traded narrow leads or statistical ties in August and early September surveys, with first-choice support typically ranging from roughly 9-18% amid large shares of undecided or blank/null responses. Separate first- and second-vote scenarios in the same polls show the same group competing for the lower slot, with no candidate establishing consistent separation. Coalitions and cross-endorsements have not yet consolidated preferences, leaving trader consensus reflected in current pricing around a tight cluster of plausible second-place finishers. Late shifts in turnout or last-minute alliances could still reorder the middle of the field before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题